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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.98+7.61vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.71+7.81vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.97+5.58vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.74+5.66vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.85+4.25vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.84vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.50-0.74vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.88+0.75vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.53+1.45vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.23+1.93vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.01-2.76vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont1.52+2.91vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.18-5.27vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.97-6.55vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.29-4.58vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.83-3.36vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-6.84vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida2.31-7.22vs Predicted
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20Columbia University1.30-4.26vs Predicted
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21Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.86vs Predicted
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22Boston University0.19-3.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.81Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.58Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.66Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.25Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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6.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.26Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.75U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.45Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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11.93University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.24Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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14.91University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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7.73Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.45Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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11.42Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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13.64Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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11.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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11.78University of South Florida2.310.0%1st Place
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15.74Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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19.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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18.66Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariel Marchand | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 11.9% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 11.1% | 5.1% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 16.6% | 14.9% | 6.7% |
| Kaitlyn Nanartowich | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 9.5% | 23.4% | 47.2% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 27.2% | 36.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.