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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+5.44vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.97+6.66vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.97+5.57vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.98+4.53vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.88+4.06vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+0.84vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.23+4.72vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.01+0.19vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.71+0.69vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.53+0.58vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.74-1.46vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.18-5.25vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.67vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.85-5.97vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont1.52-1.35vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.83-3.39vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.30-2.38vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida2.31-7.26vs Predicted
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20Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-0.81vs Predicted
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21Connecticut College2.29-9.39vs Predicted
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22Boston University0.19-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.44Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.66Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.57Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.53Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.06U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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6.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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11.72University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.19Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.69Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.58Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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9.54Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.75Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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11.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.03Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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14.65University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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13.61Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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15.62Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.74University of South Florida2.310.0%1st Place
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19.19Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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11.61Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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18.65Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 11.6% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Hanna Vincent | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 10.7% | 4.4% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 2.0% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 18.5% | 14.7% | 6.2% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Kaitlyn Nanartowich | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 8.0% | 24.6% | 49.5% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 29.2% | 35.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.