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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.18+5.07vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.80+5.57vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.27+3.15vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.35+1.62vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.16+2.49vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.96+0.87vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.59-1.90vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.83-3.55vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.84-1.62vs Predicted
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10Williams College-0.90+4.65vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.51-2.34vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.93+1.72vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-1.41+2.21vs Predicted
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14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42+1.84vs Predicted
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15Williams College-1.12-0.59vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.82-2.45vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont-0.05-6.55vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire-1.77-1.65vs Predicted
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19University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.53-3.12vs Predicted
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20Wesleyan University-1.83-3.53vs Predicted
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21Wesleyan University-2.87-1.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.07Tufts University1.189.0%1st Place
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7.57Tufts University0.805.9%1st Place
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6.15Tufts University1.279.9%1st Place
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5.62Tufts University1.359.9%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University1.166.4%1st Place
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6.87Tufts University0.968.2%1st Place
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5.1Tufts University1.5913.2%1st Place
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4.45Tufts University1.8317.1%1st Place
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7.38University of Vermont0.846.8%1st Place
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14.65Williams College-0.901.1%1st Place
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8.66Tufts University0.514.3%1st Place
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13.72University of New Hampshire-0.930.8%1st Place
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15.21University of New Hampshire-1.410.8%1st Place
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15.84University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.420.5%1st Place
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14.41Williams College-1.121.2%1st Place
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13.55University of New Hampshire-0.821.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Vermont-0.052.2%1st Place
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16.35University of New Hampshire-1.770.5%1st Place
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15.88University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.530.4%1st Place
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16.47Wesleyan University-1.830.7%1st Place
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19.11Wesleyan University-2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien Bellanger | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Blake Vogel | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wyatt Bischoff | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wallace | 9.9% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adam Larzelere | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 8.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gus Macaulay | 13.2% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurt Stuebe | 17.1% | 14.7% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Smith | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Annecy Kagan | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Devyn Weed | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 4.5% |
| Andy Giaya | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 7.0% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 2.6% |
| Jake Lacoche | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Ella Towner | 2.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Smits | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 11.2% |
| Angelina Papa | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 7.5% |
| Sara Beth Bouchard | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 10.8% |
| Benjamin Siegel | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 51.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.