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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+5.35vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.71+7.66vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+8.14vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.23+7.78vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.98+3.52vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+1.72vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.69vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.97+0.23vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.97-0.65vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.85-2.01vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.53-1.76vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.52+1.71vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-7.33vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.74-5.58vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.83-2.82vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.01-8.72vs Predicted
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18Columbia University1.30-2.53vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida2.51-8.34vs Predicted
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20Connecticut College1.34-4.64vs Predicted
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21Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.97vs Predicted
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22Boston University0.19-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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9.66Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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11.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.52Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.72Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.23Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.35Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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8.99Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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10.24Harvard University2.530.1%1st Place
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14.71University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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6.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.42Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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13.18Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.28Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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15.47Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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10.66University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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15.36Connecticut College1.340.0%1st Place
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19.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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18.55Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrea Luna | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Watson | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 4.8% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 14.0% | 5.8% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Price | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 6.0% |
| Kaitlyn Nanartowich | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 10.1% | 23.0% | 45.0% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 11.9% | 26.5% | 35.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.