Race 1A

mt-hope-bay-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Grant Adam 14.5% 15.6% 14.4% 12.6% 11.9% 9.6% 7.8% 5.8% 4.2% 2.7% 1.1%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 7.5% 8.8% 7.8% 8.1% 9.5% 10.7% 11.2% 11.7% 9.4% 9.3% 6.2%
Keller Morrison 5.1% 4.8% 6.0% 7.3% 7.3% 7.0% 9.2% 10.7% 11.5% 14.1% 17.0%
Dominik spinelli 13.7% 14.3% 12.4% 12.3% 11.7% 10.2% 9.7% 7.3% 4.2% 3.0% 1.2%
Luke Zylinski 15.3% 14.0% 12.7% 12.2% 11.8% 10.8% 7.8% 6.3% 4.4% 3.4% 1.2%
Jakub Fuja 8.8% 8.4% 9.7% 9.6% 9.8% 9.6% 10.4% 10.8% 10.6% 7.4% 4.9%
Kevin Gosselin 16.4% 14.8% 14.4% 13.2% 10.2% 10.0% 8.3% 6.1% 3.8% 1.9% 0.8%
Daniel van Heeckeren 5.7% 4.6% 5.7% 6.8% 7.4% 8.1% 9.2% 10.8% 13.2% 13.2% 15.6%
Charles Morris 5.3% 4.7% 5.7% 6.0% 7.3% 8.2% 9.7% 11.1% 12.8% 13.6% 15.8%
Zachary Amelotte 3.2% 4.6% 5.6% 5.4% 5.7% 8.3% 8.3% 10.0% 11.9% 16.4% 20.6%
Yasar Akin 4.4% 5.5% 5.8% 6.6% 7.3% 7.5% 8.4% 9.6% 14.1% 15.0% 15.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.