Race 2A

mt-hope-bay-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kevin Gosselin 16.3% 14.5% 14.3% 12.7% 12.0% 9.6% 8.2% 5.9% 3.3% 2.5% 0.6%
Luke Zylinski 15.8% 13.4% 13.8% 11.4% 10.7% 9.8% 8.5% 7.3% 6.0% 2.4% 0.9%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 9.4% 7.5% 9.3% 9.0% 9.3% 9.3% 9.2% 10.8% 10.2% 9.2% 6.7%
Dominik spinelli 13.9% 14.1% 13.5% 11.8% 11.5% 9.2% 9.7% 8.1% 4.4% 2.9% 1.1%
Grant Adam 13.9% 15.3% 12.8% 13.2% 11.5% 10.3% 8.9% 6.0% 4.7% 2.5% 0.9%
Jakub Fuja 7.6% 10.5% 9.4% 10.0% 9.6% 10.6% 10.0% 9.7% 9.1% 9.3% 4.3%
Keller Morrison 4.5% 4.6% 6.0% 6.2% 5.7% 7.1% 8.6% 10.3% 13.6% 14.1% 19.2%
Yasar Akin 4.2% 5.1% 5.5% 6.0% 8.2% 8.8% 9.2% 10.6% 13.0% 14.3% 15.2%
Charles Morris 4.5% 5.6% 5.0% 7.6% 6.7% 8.6% 10.2% 11.9% 11.3% 14.1% 14.4%
Zachary Amelotte 3.9% 4.0% 4.0% 5.8% 7.2% 7.9% 8.8% 9.3% 12.4% 16.4% 20.4%
Daniel van Heeckeren 6.0% 5.4% 6.4% 6.2% 7.7% 8.6% 8.6% 10.2% 12.0% 12.5% 16.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.