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📊 Prediction Accuracy
19.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.97+7.50vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.71+7.66vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42+3.55vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+2.18vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.98+3.58vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.74+3.68vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+3.92vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18-0.54vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.01-0.82vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.23+1.79vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.88-2.27vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.34+3.37vs Predicted
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13Columbia University1.30+2.61vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.85-5.06vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.83-1.86vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.97-8.53vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.51-7.63vs Predicted
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19Harvard University2.53-8.41vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont1.52-5.29vs Predicted
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21Boston University0.19-2.39vs Predicted
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22Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.5Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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9.66Roger Williams University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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6.18Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.58Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.68Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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10.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.46Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.18Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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11.79University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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15.37Connecticut College1.340.0%1st Place
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15.61Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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8.94Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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13.14Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.47Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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10.37University of South Florida2.510.1%1st Place
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10.59Harvard University2.530.0%1st Place
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14.71University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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18.61Boston University0.190.0%1st Place
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18.96Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Price | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 5.6% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 16.1% | 15.5% | 5.4% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Colleen Hartman | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Caitlin Watson | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 8.8% | 4.0% |
| Katelyn Richerts | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 12.1% | 24.7% | 36.2% |
| Kaitlyn Nanartowich | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 10.6% | 20.9% | 45.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.