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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.42+3.53vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.34+2.44vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.80+3.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+0.53vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.33+2.36vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University0.35+1.29vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.57-2.88vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.94-2.18vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.18-1.39vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.37-2.80vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.46-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.4213.8%1st Place
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4.44Brown University1.3415.3%1st Place
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6.05University of Vermont0.808.3%1st Place
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4.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.7314.1%1st Place
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7.36Brown University0.334.2%1st Place
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7.29Roger Williams University0.354.8%1st Place
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4.12North Carolina State University1.5715.7%1st Place
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5.82Roger Williams University0.949.0%1st Place
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7.61University of Vermont0.184.9%1st Place
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7.2Brown University0.374.5%1st Place
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7.05University of Vermont0.465.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dominik spinelli | 13.8% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
Grant Adam | 15.3% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 8.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 5.9% |
Luke Zylinski | 14.1% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
Keller Morrison | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 17.9% |
Yasar Akin | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 14.8% | 16.1% |
Kevin Gosselin | 15.7% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
Jakub Fuja | 9.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
Zachary Amelotte | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 20.9% |
Daniel van Heeckeren | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 15.8% |
Charles Morris | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 15.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.