Race 4A

mt-hope-bay-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Dominik spinelli 13.2% 13.6% 13.3% 11.7% 11.4% 10.0% 9.0% 7.7% 5.5% 3.0% 1.7%
Grant Adam 16.2% 13.8% 14.2% 12.4% 12.2% 9.3% 7.7% 5.9% 5.3% 2.2% 0.7%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 8.7% 8.2% 8.1% 9.2% 9.2% 10.6% 10.8% 10.0% 10.3% 9.6% 5.5%
Charles Morris 4.5% 5.9% 6.3% 6.0% 8.6% 8.6% 8.9% 10.8% 12.3% 12.9% 14.9%
Luke Zylinski 13.5% 14.4% 13.0% 12.4% 12.3% 9.8% 8.8% 7.3% 4.2% 3.2% 0.9%
Kevin Gosselin 15.6% 15.9% 14.6% 12.4% 12.4% 9.5% 7.6% 5.9% 3.9% 1.4% 0.7%
Yasar Akin 5.6% 5.5% 5.5% 7.1% 6.9% 7.6% 9.2% 11.7% 10.3% 14.6% 16.0%
Jakub Fuja 9.0% 9.2% 9.1% 11.2% 9.6% 10.2% 9.4% 9.5% 10.0% 7.4% 5.3%
Keller Morrison 4.7% 5.5% 5.1% 5.7% 6.6% 8.1% 9.3% 10.8% 11.8% 14.8% 17.8%
Daniel van Heeckeren 5.2% 4.8% 5.4% 5.9% 5.9% 7.8% 9.7% 11.2% 13.7% 14.4% 16.1%
Zachary Amelotte 3.6% 3.4% 5.4% 6.0% 4.8% 8.4% 9.6% 9.2% 12.7% 16.4% 20.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.