Race 5A

mt-hope-bay-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 7.3% 7.7% 8.6% 9.4% 9.4% 10.2% 11.8% 10.2% 9.6% 8.6% 7.1%
Luke Zylinski 15.3% 14.0% 13.5% 13.1% 10.3% 10.9% 8.4% 5.6% 5.8% 2.5% 0.9%
Charles Morris 4.8% 6.0% 5.9% 5.7% 6.8% 6.6% 10.8% 11.4% 12.7% 14.6% 14.6%
Grant Adam 14.8% 16.0% 13.6% 12.7% 11.3% 8.9% 8.1% 7.0% 4.0% 2.6% 1.0%
Daniel van Heeckeren 4.9% 5.1% 5.5% 6.0% 6.9% 8.8% 8.6% 11.3% 13.2% 14.6% 15.0%
Kevin Gosselin 16.9% 13.8% 14.4% 14.4% 11.8% 9.8% 7.1% 5.8% 3.8% 1.8% 0.5%
Dominik spinelli 13.9% 13.6% 13.5% 13.5% 12.1% 9.6% 9.2% 6.2% 4.5% 2.9% 1.0%
Keller Morrison 4.0% 5.1% 5.9% 5.9% 7.2% 8.3% 8.3% 10.5% 10.9% 14.8% 18.9%
Yasar Akin 5.1% 5.1% 6.0% 5.5% 6.8% 8.3% 9.0% 11.0% 12.6% 14.5% 16.0%
Zachary Amelotte 4.3% 5.1% 4.6% 4.3% 6.7% 6.4% 8.3% 10.3% 13.2% 16.4% 20.4%
Jakub Fuja 8.7% 8.4% 8.4% 9.6% 10.7% 12.2% 10.3% 10.7% 9.8% 6.6% 4.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.