← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.18+6.95vs Predicted
-
2Yale University3.50+4.67vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.85+6.55vs Predicted
-
4Georgetown University2.74+5.89vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University2.97+4.02vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University2.58+3.93vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy2.88+1.18vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.98-0.29vs Predicted
-
10Columbia University1.30+6.09vs Predicted
-
11University of South Florida2.51+0.07vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-0.46vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.95vs Predicted
-
14Boston College2.97-5.04vs Predicted
-
15Roger Williams University2.71-4.93vs Predicted
-
16University of Rhode Island2.23-3.89vs Predicted
-
17Boston University2.21-4.59vs Predicted
-
18Northeastern University1.83-3.95vs Predicted
-
19University of Vermont1.52-3.34vs Predicted
-
20Connecticut College2.29-7.81vs Predicted
-
21Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.43vs Predicted
-
22Brown University3.01-13.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.95Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
-
6.67Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
9.55Cornell University2.850.0%1st Place
-
9.89Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
-
9.02Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
-
10.93Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
-
9.18U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
-
8.71Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
-
16.09Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
-
11.07University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
-
11.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
-
7.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
-
8.96Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
-
10.07Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
-
12.11University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
-
12.41Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
-
14.05Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
-
15.66University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
-
12.19Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
-
19.57Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
-
8.34Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Marissa Lihan | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 12.0% | 23.2% | 11.9% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Annie Schmidt | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Erica Lush | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 3.7% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 19.9% | 8.4% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 1.3% |
| Kaitlyn Nanartowich | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 11.1% | 67.7% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.