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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech0.71+1.77vs Predicted
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2University of Maryland-0.45+2.78vs Predicted
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3Drexel University0.47+0.14vs Predicted
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4American University-0.61+1.11vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+2.07vs Predicted
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6William and Mary-0.21-1.57vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-1.52+0.22vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.30-1.32vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-1.41-2.06vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-2.72-0.52vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-2.11-2.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.77Virginia Tech0.7127.3%1st Place
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4.78University of Maryland-0.459.6%1st Place
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3.14Drexel University0.4723.5%1st Place
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5.11American University-0.619.4%1st Place
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7.07SUNY Stony Brook-0.603.1%1st Place
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4.43William and Mary-0.2112.0%1st Place
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7.22Penn State University-1.524.2%1st Place
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6.68University of Delaware-1.304.5%1st Place
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6.94University of Delaware-1.413.5%1st Place
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9.48U. S. Military Academy-2.721.0%1st Place
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8.39Syracuse University-2.111.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Cogswell | 27.3% | 25.2% | 19.1% | 12.7% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Grigg | 9.6% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Iain Shand | 23.5% | 21.3% | 18.1% | 14.7% | 9.9% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Lorson | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 15.5% | 6.4% |
| Charlotte Stillman | 12.0% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Mac Fitzgerald | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 8.1% |
| Logan Devaric | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 5.5% |
| Molly Carfagno | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 5.5% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 17.3% | 50.5% |
| Alice Kilkelly | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 15.1% | 22.6% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.