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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.52+5.74vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.78+3.99vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.85+2.83vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33+3.69vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.89+0.62vs Predicted
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7Brown University4.28+0.96vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.89+4.65vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.00+5.63vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University3.92-0.68vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont4.60-4.42vs Predicted
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12Tufts University4.33-4.19vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.06-4.34vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.65-3.74vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire2.78-1.89vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut2.51-2.33vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-10.43vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College3.74-8.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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5.99Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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5.83Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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7.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
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5.62Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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7.96Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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12.65Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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14.63Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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9.32Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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6.58University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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7.81Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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10.26University of Rhode Island3.650.0%1st Place
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13.11University of New Hampshire2.780.0%1st Place
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13.67University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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9.91Connecticut College3.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Palmer | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Cy Thompson | 10.4% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Barrows | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Leighton | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Sinks | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeff Knowles | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 19.1% | 16.7% | 10.6% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 19.9% | 41.9% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Clinton Hayes | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tomas Hornos | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Sam Williams | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Ben Quatromoni | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Gregg Griffin | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 18.2% | 16.4% |
| Sean Andrew | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 21.5% | 23.9% |
| Samuel Ingham | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matt Sterett | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.