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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.42+3.60vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+2.52vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.34+1.24vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.57+0.21vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University0.35+2.17vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.46+1.27vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.37+0.30vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.80-2.00vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.94-3.33vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.18-2.33vs Predicted
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11Brown University0.33-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.4213.9%1st Place
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4.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.7314.1%1st Place
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4.24Brown University1.3416.0%1st Place
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4.21North Carolina State University1.5717.1%1st Place
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7.17Roger Williams University0.354.5%1st Place
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7.27University of Vermont0.465.1%1st Place
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7.3Brown University0.374.4%1st Place
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6.0University of Vermont0.807.5%1st Place
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5.67Roger Williams University0.948.3%1st Place
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7.67University of Vermont0.184.0%1st Place
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7.35Brown University0.334.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dominik spinelli | 13.9% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
Luke Zylinski | 14.1% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
Grant Adam | 16.0% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
Kevin Gosselin | 17.1% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
Yasar Akin | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 15.1% |
Charles Morris | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 15.8% |
Daniel van Heeckeren | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 17.1% |
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 4.6% |
Jakub Fuja | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
Zachary Amelotte | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 21.4% |
Keller Morrison | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 15.7% | 18.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.