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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Dartmouth College3.18+5.99vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.85+6.48vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.88+5.35vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.74+4.96vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.98+3.05vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.50-0.29vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.58+2.59vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.01-0.54vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+1.61vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.21+1.48vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-5.13vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.71-2.77vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.97-5.05vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.97-6.22vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.83-2.13vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.29-4.98vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.23-5.72vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida2.51-7.73vs Predicted
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20University of Vermont1.52-4.54vs Predicted
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21Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-1.46vs Predicted
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22Columbia University1.30-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.99Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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9.48Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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9.96Georgetown University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.05Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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6.71Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.59Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.46Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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11.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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12.48Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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6.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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10.23Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.95Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.78Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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13.87Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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12.02Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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12.28University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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11.27University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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15.46University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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19.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
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16.04Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Marissa Lihan | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Erica Lush | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 2.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 11.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annie Schmidt | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrea Luna | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 4.4% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Colleen Hartman | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 13.7% | 16.2% | 9.3% |
| Kaitlyn Nanartowich | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 11.7% | 66.7% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 14.2% | 21.8% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.