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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.71+9.15vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+6.78vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+4.92vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.50+2.51vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.74+5.11vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.58+4.95vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.97+1.78vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.98+0.64vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-2.18vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.88-0.62vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.97-3.14vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.51-1.87vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.27vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.85-5.59vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College2.29-4.19vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.52-1.71vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.23-5.73vs Predicted
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19Columbia University1.30-2.55vs Predicted
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20Northeastern University1.83-5.81vs Predicted
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21Boston University2.21-8.59vs Predicted
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22Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.15Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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8.78Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.92Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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6.51Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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10.11Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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10.95Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.78Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.64Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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6.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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8.86Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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11.13University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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11.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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9.41Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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11.81Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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15.29University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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12.27University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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16.45Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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14.19Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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12.41Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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19.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Schmidt | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Mariel Marchand | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Hanna Vincent | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Colleen Hartman | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 13.5% | 16.5% | 8.6% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 1.4% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 23.6% | 13.4% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 4.8% |
| Erica Lush | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Kaitlyn Nanartowich | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 13.5% | 64.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.