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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+3.39vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.37+5.32vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.42+1.62vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.80+2.10vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.34-0.63vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont0.46+1.17vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.57-2.86vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.94-2.34vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont0.18-1.30vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.33-2.66vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.35-3.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.7316.2%1st Place
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7.32Brown University0.374.2%1st Place
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4.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.4213.3%1st Place
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6.1University of Vermont0.808.1%1st Place
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4.37Brown University1.3415.0%1st Place
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7.17University of Vermont0.464.2%1st Place
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4.14North Carolina State University1.5717.0%1st Place
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5.66Roger Williams University0.948.9%1st Place
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7.7University of Vermont0.183.4%1st Place
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7.34Brown University0.334.9%1st Place
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7.2Roger Williams University0.355.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Luke Zylinski | 16.2% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
Daniel van Heeckeren | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 18.1% |
Dominik spinelli | 13.3% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.4% |
Grant Adam | 15.0% | 13.7% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
Charles Morris | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 15.6% | 13.5% |
Kevin Gosselin | 17.0% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
Jakub Fuja | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
Zachary Amelotte | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 20.9% |
Keller Morrison | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 18.4% |
Yasar Akin | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 14.7% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.