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📊 Prediction Accuracy
14.3%
Within 2 Positions
5.5
Avg Position Diff
21
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.71+9.18vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.74+8.04vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38+8.68vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+3.88vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01+3.79vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.30+9.28vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85+1.31vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.50-2.51vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.98-1.23vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.52+4.22vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.97-3.19vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.83+1.20vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.97-5.00vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.51-4.01vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-9.25vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.88-7.68vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.58-7.35vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College2.29-6.64vs Predicted
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20University of Rhode Island2.23-7.61vs Predicted
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21Boston University2.21-8.54vs Predicted
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22Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.03-2.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.18Roger Williams University2.710.0%1st Place
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10.04Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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11.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.88Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.79Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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16.28Columbia University1.300.0%1st Place
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9.31Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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6.49Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.77Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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15.22University of Vermont1.520.0%1st Place
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8.81Old Dominion University2.970.1%1st Place
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14.2Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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9.0Boston College2.970.1%1st Place
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10.99University of South Florida2.510.0%1st Place
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6.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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10.65Harvard University2.580.0%1st Place
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12.36Connecticut College2.290.0%1st Place
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12.39University of Rhode Island2.230.0%1st Place
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12.46Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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19.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Schmidt | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Devon Rohde | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Johanna Kincaid | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Mary Margaret Meehan | 0.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 14.1% | 21.9% | 13.7% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Claire Dennis | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jana Gailiunas | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 20.1% | 8.3% |
| Andrea Luna | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 4.8% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Colleen Hartman | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Hanna Vincent | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marissa Lihan | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Sophie Bermudez | 4.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Alexandra Romagnoli | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 1.2% |
| Mackenzie Needham | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Erica Lush | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Kaitlyn Nanartowich | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.9% | 7.6% | 12.2% | 63.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.