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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.80+5.12vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University0.94+3.72vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+1.60vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.18+3.68vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.42-0.41vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.57-1.78vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.37+0.19vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.46-0.88vs Predicted
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9Brown University1.34-4.76vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.33-2.66vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University0.35-3.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.12University of Vermont0.807.0%1st Place
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5.72Roger Williams University0.948.5%1st Place
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4.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.7314.3%1st Place
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7.68University of Vermont0.183.4%1st Place
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4.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.4214.0%1st Place
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4.22North Carolina State University1.5717.5%1st Place
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7.19Brown University0.374.9%1st Place
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7.12University of Vermont0.465.5%1st Place
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4.24Brown University1.3415.7%1st Place
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7.34Brown University0.334.9%1st Place
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7.17Roger Williams University0.354.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.8% |
Jakub Fuja | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
Luke Zylinski | 14.3% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
Zachary Amelotte | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 16.4% | 20.2% |
Dominik spinelli | 14.0% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
Kevin Gosselin | 17.5% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
Daniel van Heeckeren | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 16.3% |
Charles Morris | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 14.7% |
Grant Adam | 15.7% | 15.4% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
Keller Morrison | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 13.6% | 17.4% |
Yasar Akin | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.