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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+6.93vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.49+8.56vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.24+8.86vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.60+6.03vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.80+4.09vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+4.74vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+1.91vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.40+2.79vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.47+1.62vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.98-1.66vs Predicted
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11Washington College3.07+1.59vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.95-3.30vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University4.36-6.01vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-0.99vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University4.01-6.75vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.16-3.90vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-8.39vs Predicted
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18University of Miami3.25-6.23vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont3.41-8.13vs Predicted
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20Queen's University1.29-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.93Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.56University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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11.86Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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10.03SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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9.09Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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8.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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10.79Fordham University3.400.0%1st Place
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10.62Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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8.34Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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12.59Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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8.7College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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6.99Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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13.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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8.25Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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12.1Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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8.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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11.77University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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18.25Queen's University1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Will Stocke | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Wesley Byrne | 4.0% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 3.3% |
| Harry Scott | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 1.8% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Alex Jacob | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Connor Needham | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Colin Smith | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 4.8% |
| Ben Spector | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.1% | 6.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 3.7% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| William Howard | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 3.1% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Spencer Stubbins | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 67.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.