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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.98+7.29vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+5.94vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.49+7.71vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.60+6.09vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.36+1.66vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.93vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.40+4.33vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+0.37vs Predicted
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9University of Miami3.25+2.62vs Predicted
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10Washington College3.07+2.53vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-0.32vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.95-3.32vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.41-1.68vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.47-3.38vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-2.03vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.16-3.95vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University4.01-8.95vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College3.24-6.16vs Predicted
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19Yale University3.80-9.92vs Predicted
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20Queen's University1.29-1.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.29Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.94Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.71University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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10.09SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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6.66Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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11.33Fordham University3.400.0%1st Place
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8.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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12.53Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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10.68St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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8.68College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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11.32University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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10.62Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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12.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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12.05Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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8.05Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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11.84Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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9.08Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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18.23Queen's University1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smith | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Will Stocke | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Harry Scott | 5.9% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.7% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Alex Jacob | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 1.9% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| William Howard | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 2.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 4.7% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Ben Spector | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Nate Jermain | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
| Connor Needham | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 1.4% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 14.9% | 5.4% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 3.6% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Wesley Byrne | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 11.2% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Spencer Stubbins | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 9.0% | 67.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.