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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.34+3.42vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University0.94+3.61vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.80+3.10vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.42+0.56vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.46+2.14vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.37+1.23vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.57-2.87vs Predicted
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8Brown University0.33-0.71vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University0.35-1.73vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.18-2.31vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Brown University1.3413.9%1st Place
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5.61Roger Williams University0.949.2%1st Place
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6.1University of Vermont0.808.5%1st Place
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4.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.4215.5%1st Place
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7.14University of Vermont0.465.1%1st Place
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7.23Brown University0.374.3%1st Place
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4.13North Carolina State University1.5717.1%1st Place
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7.29Brown University0.335.0%1st Place
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7.27Roger Williams University0.355.3%1st Place
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7.69University of Vermont0.183.5%1st Place
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4.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.7312.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Grant Adam | 13.9% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
Jakub Fuja | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 6.6% |
Dominik spinelli | 15.5% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
Charles Morris | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 15.3% | 13.5% |
Daniel van Heeckeren | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 17.0% |
Kevin Gosselin | 17.1% | 16.1% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
Keller Morrison | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 13.8% | 17.3% |
Yasar Akin | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 14.6% | 16.2% |
Zachary Amelotte | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 20.5% |
Luke Zylinski | 12.5% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 13.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.