Race 11A

mt-hope-bay-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Bradley Whiteway 18.3% 17.7% 15.8% 13.2% 10.6% 8.6% 7.0% 5.0% 2.6% 1.1%
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez 12.1% 11.5% 10.8% 11.1% 10.9% 10.5% 10.7% 9.2% 8.2% 5.1%
Allison Nystrom 5.9% 6.4% 6.6% 8.1% 8.5% 9.7% 10.5% 11.7% 13.5% 19.2%
Keller Morrison 6.8% 5.9% 7.9% 7.3% 8.5% 9.6% 11.1% 14.2% 13.6% 15.2%
Grant Adam 20.2% 18.9% 15.6% 14.1% 10.2% 8.2% 5.7% 3.9% 2.6% 0.6%
Yasar Akin 6.3% 6.9% 8.0% 8.6% 9.4% 9.4% 11.3% 10.8% 14.5% 14.8%
Charles Morris 5.9% 7.1% 7.8% 8.6% 9.8% 10.5% 11.3% 12.5% 12.4% 13.9%
Daniel van Heeckeren 6.2% 7.0% 7.3% 8.0% 9.6% 10.7% 12.5% 12.3% 13.3% 13.1%
Jakub Fuja 11.7% 11.6% 11.7% 11.9% 12.9% 11.7% 9.4% 8.9% 6.2% 4.0%
Julian Henderson 6.6% 7.2% 8.5% 9.2% 9.6% 11.1% 10.4% 11.4% 13.0% 13.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.