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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+7.58vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+4.69vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.49+7.71vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.95+4.46vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+5.52vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University4.01+2.32vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.40+4.37vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College4.05-0.20vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.34vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.47+0.74vs Predicted
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11Washington College3.07+1.56vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.16+0.34vs Predicted
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13University of Miami3.25-0.95vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.98-5.77vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont3.41-4.08vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.80-6.91vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-4.12vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College3.24-6.16vs Predicted
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19SUNY Maritime College3.60-9.00vs Predicted
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20Queen's University1.29-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.58St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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6.69Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.71University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.46College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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10.52St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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8.32Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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11.37Fordham University3.400.0%1st Place
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7.8Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.66Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.74Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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12.56Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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12.34Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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12.05University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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8.23Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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10.92University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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9.09Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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12.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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11.84Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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10.0SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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18.24Queen's University1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Stocke | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Ben Spector | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 1.0% |
| Dillon Paiva | 5.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Alex Jacob | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Needham | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 12.7% | 4.2% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 4.0% |
| William Howard | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 4.8% |
| Colin Smith | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Bates | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 5.8% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 3.0% |
| Harry Scott | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Spencer Stubbins | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 9.9% | 67.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.