← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont0.80+4.17vs Predicted
-
2Brown University0.37+4.15vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.34+0.57vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40-0.16vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont0.46+1.20vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.41+0.14vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University0.94-2.19vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University0.35-1.81vs Predicted
-
9Brown University0.33-2.57vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.25-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.17University of Vermont0.8010.3%1st Place
-
6.15Brown University0.377.5%1st Place
-
3.57Brown University1.3420.2%1st Place
-
3.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.4019.0%1st Place
-
6.2University of Vermont0.466.1%1st Place
-
6.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.416.7%1st Place
-
4.81Roger Williams University0.9412.6%1st Place
-
6.19Roger Williams University0.356.2%1st Place
-
6.43Brown University0.335.9%1st Place
-
6.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.255.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% |
Daniel van Heeckeren | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 14.3% |
Grant Adam | 20.2% | 18.8% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Bradley Whiteway | 19.0% | 16.2% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
Charles Morris | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 13.5% |
Julian Henderson | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 12.6% |
Jakub Fuja | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
Yasar Akin | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 13.9% |
Keller Morrison | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 16.8% |
Allison Nystrom | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 14.1% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.