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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.95+7.42vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.60+8.06vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University4.01+5.32vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.16+8.13vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.41+5.94vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+4.74vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.06vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.47+2.52vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49+1.47vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.80-0.85vs Predicted
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11Washington College3.07+1.61vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-3.25vs Predicted
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13University of Miami3.25-0.93vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University4.36-7.35vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College3.24-3.26vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.40-5.07vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-4.10vs Predicted
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18Queen's University1.29+0.20vs Predicted
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19Dartmouth College4.05-11.05vs Predicted
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20Brown University3.98-11.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.42College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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10.06SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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8.32Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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12.13Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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10.94University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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10.74St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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9.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.52Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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10.47University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.15Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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12.61Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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8.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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12.07University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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6.65Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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11.74Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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10.93Fordham University3.400.1%1st Place
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12.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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18.2Queen's University1.290.0%1st Place
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7.95Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.4Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Harry Scott | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 3.9% |
| Nate Jermain | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Connor Needham | 3.8% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Will Stocke | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 5.7% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| William Howard | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 3.4% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 3.8% |
| Alex Jacob | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 12.1% | 6.4% |
| Spencer Stubbins | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 6.1% | 10.6% | 65.2% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Colin Smith | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.