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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.80+4.18vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University0.94+2.86vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.40+0.88vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.46+2.06vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.41+1.15vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.34-2.40vs Predicted
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7Brown University0.37-0.79vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.25-1.37vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.33-2.81vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.35-3.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18University of Vermont0.8010.2%1st Place
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4.86Roger Williams University0.9410.9%1st Place
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3.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.4016.6%1st Place
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6.06University of Vermont0.467.8%1st Place
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6.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.416.8%1st Place
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3.6Brown University1.3420.2%1st Place
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6.21Brown University0.377.5%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.255.5%1st Place
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6.19Brown University0.337.0%1st Place
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6.23Roger Williams University0.357.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alvaro Nadal-Alvarez | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
Jakub Fuja | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
Bradley Whiteway | 16.6% | 19.1% | 14.9% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
Charles Morris | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 12.2% |
Julian Henderson | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 13.3% | 13.2% |
Grant Adam | 20.2% | 18.4% | 17.7% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
Daniel van Heeckeren | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 14.4% |
Allison Nystrom | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 19.9% |
Keller Morrison | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 14.9% |
Yasar Akin | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 14.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.