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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University4.01+7.21vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.49+8.59vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.95+5.54vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College4.05+4.02vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+3.57vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+3.23vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.36-0.14vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.47+2.47vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.24+2.65vs Predicted
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10Washington College3.07+2.58vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.16+1.13vs Predicted
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12University of Miami3.25-0.06vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College3.60-2.56vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-5.31vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.40-4.05vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.41-5.11vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-4.09vs Predicted
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18Brown University3.98-9.60vs Predicted
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19Queen's University1.29-0.81vs Predicted
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20St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-9.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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10.59University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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8.54College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.02Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.57St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.23Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.86Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.47Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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11.65Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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12.58Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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12.13Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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10.44SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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8.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.95Fordham University3.400.0%1st Place
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10.89University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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12.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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8.4Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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18.19Queen's University1.290.0%1st Place
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10.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Paiva | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Will Stocke | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 1.3% |
| Ben Spector | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Connor Needham | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 4.9% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 4.1% |
| William Howard | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| Harry Scott | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Alex Jacob | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 5.0% |
| Colin Smith | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Spencer Stubbins | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 10.0% | 66.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.