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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+3.33vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.59+3.58vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.58+5.46vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.40-0.02vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.82+0.23vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.60-0.14vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90+0.69vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.28-3.87vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.83-1.05vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech-0.44+1.36vs Predicted
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11Hampton University0.72-3.00vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University-0.55-0.41vs Predicted
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13American University-0.66-1.01vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University-0.52-2.43vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland-0.85-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Georgetown University2.2015.4%1st Place
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5.58Old Dominion University1.5910.0%1st Place
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8.46Hampton University0.583.5%1st Place
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3.98Georgetown University2.4017.4%1st Place
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5.23George Washington University1.8210.7%1st Place
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5.86College of Charleston1.609.1%1st Place
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7.69St. Mary's College of Maryland0.904.1%1st Place
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4.13U. S. Naval Academy2.2817.2%1st Place
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7.95U. S. Naval Academy0.833.5%1st Place
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11.36Virginia Tech-0.441.8%1st Place
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8.0Hampton University0.724.1%1st Place
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11.59Northwestern University-0.550.8%1st Place
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11.99American University-0.660.8%1st Place
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11.57Christopher Newport University-0.520.8%1st Place
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12.28University of Maryland-0.850.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diego Escobar | 15.4% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 17.4% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Weed | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Max Kleha | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jack Welburn | 17.2% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Margo Cicero | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 15.6% |
| Stefano Palamara | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.9% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 18.9% |
| James Cottage | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 19.3% | 21.8% |
| Noah Hubbard | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 17.2% | 15.7% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 20.2% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.