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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College3.24+10.74vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.49+8.57vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+6.29vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.40+7.02vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.36+1.60vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.47+4.78vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.41+4.25vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+4.84vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.60+1.01vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+0.55vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.98-2.55vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.95-3.37vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University4.01-4.47vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College4.05-6.07vs Predicted
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15Washington College3.07-2.56vs Predicted
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16Queen's University1.29+2.07vs Predicted
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17University of Miami3.25-5.40vs Predicted
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18Harvard University3.16-5.75vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-10.25vs Predicted
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20St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-11.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.74Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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10.57University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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9.29Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.02Fordham University3.400.0%1st Place
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6.6Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.78Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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11.25University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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12.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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10.01SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.55St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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8.45Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.63College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.53Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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7.93Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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12.44Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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18.07Queen's University1.290.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Miami3.250.0%1st Place
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12.25Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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8.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.72St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wesley Byrne | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.0% |
| Will Stocke | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 2.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Alex Jacob | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.1% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 4.9% |
| Harry Scott | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.8% |
| Colin Smith | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ben Spector | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 4.9% |
| Spencer Stubbins | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 9.6% | 65.1% |
| William Howard | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.2% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 4.4% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.