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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.85+4.71vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.33+5.57vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University3.92+6.18vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.65+6.13vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.89+0.60vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University4.78+0.14vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.74+2.76vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont4.60-1.47vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.00+6.00vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33-2.46vs Predicted
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11Harvard University4.52-3.91vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-5.37vs Predicted
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13Brown University4.28-5.07vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College4.06-5.20vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.89-2.40vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire2.78-3.95vs Predicted
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18University of Connecticut2.51-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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7.57Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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9.18Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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10.13University of Rhode Island3.650.0%1st Place
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5.6Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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6.14Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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9.76Connecticut College3.740.0%1st Place
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6.53University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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15.0Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
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7.09Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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7.93Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College4.060.0%1st Place
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12.6Bowdoin College2.890.0%1st Place
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13.05University of New Hampshire2.780.0%1st Place
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13.73University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Barrows | 11.8% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tomas Hornos | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Ben Quatromoni | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 1.8% |
| Tyler Sinks | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Cy Thompson | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matt Sterett | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Clinton Hayes | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 17.2% | 47.6% |
| Joshua Leighton | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Alan Palmer | 9.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jeff Knowles | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Sam Williams | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jeff Goodrich | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 11.2% |
| Gregg Griffin | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 20.1% | 13.6% |
| Sean Andrew | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 23.2% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.