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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.82+4.14vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.20+2.35vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.40+0.93vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University1.59+1.58vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.28-0.93vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.60-0.17vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.58+1.54vs Predicted
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8Hampton University0.72+0.06vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University-0.52+2.54vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-2.27vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University-0.55+0.58vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.44-0.54vs Predicted
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13American University-0.66-1.12vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.85-1.78vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy0.83-6.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.14George Washington University1.8210.7%1st Place
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4.35Georgetown University2.2016.6%1st Place
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3.93Georgetown University2.4018.5%1st Place
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5.58Old Dominion University1.598.4%1st Place
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4.07U. S. Naval Academy2.2816.7%1st Place
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5.83College of Charleston1.6010.2%1st Place
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8.54Hampton University0.582.9%1st Place
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8.06Hampton University0.723.5%1st Place
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11.54Christopher Newport University-0.521.1%1st Place
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7.73St. Mary's College of Maryland0.903.9%1st Place
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11.58Northwestern University-0.551.4%1st Place
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11.46Virginia Tech-0.441.2%1st Place
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11.88American University-0.661.1%1st Place
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12.22University of Maryland-0.850.5%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Naval Academy0.833.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wood | 10.7% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Diego Escobar | 16.6% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 18.5% | 16.9% | 14.6% | 13.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 16.7% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Weed | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Stefano Palamara | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Noah Hubbard | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 17.2% |
| Max Kleha | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Samantha Forgosh | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 15.4% | 18.2% | 17.9% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 17.1% | 14.2% |
| James Cottage | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 15.0% | 19.3% | 20.9% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 27.1% |
| Margo Cicero | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.