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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+5.49vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College3.60+7.84vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+4.97vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.47+6.40vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.16+6.74vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.95+2.29vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University4.01+1.27vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.80+0.67vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.49+1.17vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.24+1.47vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.98-2.78vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+0.92vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.72+4.12vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.41-3.46vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-6.65vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-5.75vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-8.60vs Predicted
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18Fordham University3.40-7.21vs Predicted
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19Washington College3.07-6.88vs Predicted
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20Queen's University1.29-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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9.84SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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7.97Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.4Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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11.74Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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8.29College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.27Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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8.67Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.17University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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11.47Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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8.22Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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12.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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17.12University of Miami1.720.0%1st Place
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10.54University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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8.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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10.25St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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8.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.79Fordham University3.400.0%1st Place
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12.12Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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17.97Queen's University1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 11.4% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Connor Needham | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Ben Spector | 6.5% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Dillon Paiva | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Will Stocke | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Colin Smith | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 9.4% | 3.3% |
| Matthew Sussmane | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 27.4% | 33.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Alex Jacob | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 1.8% |
| Spencer Stubbins | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 6.7% | 20.8% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.