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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.82+4.13vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University1.59+3.62vs Predicted
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3Hampton University0.72+4.88vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.40-0.08vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.20-0.69vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.60-0.13vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.58+1.16vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.28-3.91vs Predicted
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9William and Mary-0.18+1.91vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy0.83-2.21vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-3.36vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech-0.44-0.91vs Predicted
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13University of Maryland-0.85-1.15vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University-0.52-2.81vs Predicted
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15American University-3.08-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13George Washington University1.8211.8%1st Place
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5.62Old Dominion University1.598.8%1st Place
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7.88Hampton University0.724.0%1st Place
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3.92Georgetown University2.4017.6%1st Place
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4.31Georgetown University2.2015.5%1st Place
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5.87College of Charleston1.608.4%1st Place
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8.16Hampton University0.583.8%1st Place
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4.09U. S. Naval Academy2.2816.9%1st Place
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10.91William and Mary-0.181.1%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Naval Academy0.834.5%1st Place
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland0.904.2%1st Place
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11.09Virginia Tech-0.441.4%1st Place
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11.85University of Maryland-0.851.0%1st Place
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11.19Christopher Newport University-0.520.9%1st Place
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14.54American University-3.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wood | 11.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Palamara | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 17.6% | 17.8% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 15.5% | 14.2% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Weed | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Jack Welburn | 16.9% | 16.4% | 15.0% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Dutilly | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 12.2% | 17.0% | 18.2% | 16.6% | 3.4% |
| Margo Cicero | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Kleha | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 15.3% | 21.6% | 17.9% | 2.9% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 19.4% | 30.1% | 6.8% |
| Noah Hubbard | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 14.8% | 19.4% | 22.2% | 3.4% |
| Ella Lane | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 7.8% | 83.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.