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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+5.49vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.47+8.37vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+4.87vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+4.56vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University4.01+2.92vs Predicted
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6Fordham University3.40+4.82vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.60+3.10vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.41+2.41vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.80-0.22vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.95-1.80vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-2.58vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+0.96vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida3.49-2.46vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.16-2.20vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.98-6.93vs Predicted
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16Washington College3.07-3.86vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College3.24-5.78vs Predicted
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18Queen's University1.29-0.06vs Predicted
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19University of Miami1.72-2.09vs Predicted
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20St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-9.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.49Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.37Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.87Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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7.92Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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10.82Fordham University3.400.0%1st Place
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10.1SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.41University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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8.78Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.2College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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12.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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10.54University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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11.8Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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8.07Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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12.14Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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11.22Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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17.94Queen's University1.290.0%1st Place
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16.91University of Miami1.720.0%1st Place
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10.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Connor Needham | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jacob | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Harry Scott | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Nate Jermain | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ben Spector | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Bates | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 3.3% |
| Will Stocke | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Colin Smith | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 2.9% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Spencer Stubbins | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 18.9% | 52.2% |
| Matthew Sussmane | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 27.0% | 30.8% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.