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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.47+9.34vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College4.05+5.78vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.98+5.27vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.49+6.28vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.36+1.52vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.95+2.22vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.80+2.17vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+0.13vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.59vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.41+0.62vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University4.01-2.96vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.24-0.28vs Predicted
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13Washington College3.07-0.53vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-3.76vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.16-3.19vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-3.37vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.40-6.46vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.72-1.02vs Predicted
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19Queen's University1.29-1.10vs Predicted
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20SUNY Maritime College3.60-10.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.34Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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7.78Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.27Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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10.28University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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6.52Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.22College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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9.17Yale University3.800.0%1st Place
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8.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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8.04Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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11.72Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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12.47Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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10.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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11.81Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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12.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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10.54Fordham University3.400.0%1st Place
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16.98University of Miami1.720.0%1st Place
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17.9Queen's University1.290.0%1st Place
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9.95SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Needham | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Wefer | 9.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Colin Smith | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Will Stocke | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Spector | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Wesley Byrne | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 1.6% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 6.7% | 2.3% |
| Markus Edegran | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 2.1% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 3.6% |
| Alex Jacob | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Sussmane | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 10.2% | 26.6% | 32.1% |
| Spencer Stubbins | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 18.9% | 51.9% |
| Harry Scott | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.