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📊 Prediction Accuracy
73.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.40+3.04vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.28+1.99vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University1.59+2.56vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.82+1.07vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.60+0.63vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20-1.59vs Predicted
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7Hampton University0.58+1.15vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.90-0.37vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy0.83-1.21vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.72-2.26vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-0.180.00vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland-0.85-0.12vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.44-1.82vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University-0.52-2.69vs Predicted
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15American University-3.08-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Georgetown University2.4016.7%1st Place
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3.99U. S. Naval Academy2.2818.2%1st Place
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5.56Old Dominion University1.599.6%1st Place
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5.07George Washington University1.8211.6%1st Place
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5.63College of Charleston1.609.0%1st Place
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4.41Georgetown University2.2014.0%1st Place
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8.15Hampton University0.583.9%1st Place
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7.63St. Mary's College of Maryland0.904.9%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Naval Academy0.833.7%1st Place
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7.74Hampton University0.724.2%1st Place
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11.0William and Mary-0.181.0%1st Place
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11.88University of Maryland-0.850.9%1st Place
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11.18Virginia Tech-0.441.1%1st Place
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11.31Christopher Newport University-0.521.1%1st Place
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14.61American University-3.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Di Blasi | 16.7% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Welburn | 18.2% | 17.8% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Diogo Silva | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Wood | 11.6% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Weed | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Diego Escobar | 14.0% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Brown | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Max Kleha | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Margo Cicero | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Stefano Palamara | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sam Dutilly | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 18.4% | 16.4% | 2.8% |
| Brian Zagalsky | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 19.4% | 29.9% | 6.3% |
| Elizabeth Heckler | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 20.2% | 18.8% | 2.9% |
| Noah Hubbard | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 15.8% | 20.3% | 22.1% | 3.2% |
| Ella Lane | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 7.5% | 84.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.