← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston3.95+7.17vs Predicted
-
2Brown University3.98+6.05vs Predicted
-
3Yale University3.80+5.98vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College4.05+3.78vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College3.24+6.34vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Maritime College3.60+3.90vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+3.59vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida3.49+2.03vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University4.36-2.62vs Predicted
-
10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.45vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-2.58vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University3.16+0.03vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University3.47-2.25vs Predicted
-
14Queen's University1.29+3.94vs Predicted
-
15Old Dominion University4.01-7.02vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont3.41-5.40vs Predicted
-
17Washington College3.07-4.99vs Predicted
-
18University of Miami1.72-0.99vs Predicted
-
19Fordham University3.40-8.38vs Predicted
-
20U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.17College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
-
8.05Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
-
8.98Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
-
7.78Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
-
11.34Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
-
9.9SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
-
10.59St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
-
10.03University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
-
6.38Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
-
8.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
-
8.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
-
12.03Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
-
10.75Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
-
17.94Queen's University1.290.0%1st Place
-
7.98Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
-
10.6University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
-
12.01Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
-
17.01University of Miami1.720.0%1st Place
-
10.62Fordham University3.400.0%1st Place
-
12.87U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Spector | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Colin Smith | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 0.8% |
| Harry Scott | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Will Stocke | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.4% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Connor Needham | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Spencer Stubbins | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 19.0% | 50.7% |
| Dillon Paiva | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 2.9% |
| Matthew Sussmane | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 27.7% | 31.4% |
| Alex Jacob | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.