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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.20+2.78vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.42+1.34vs Predicted
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3Rollins College0.95+4.07vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79+0.87vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.25+1.17vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+0.51vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.95+0.50vs Predicted
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8Hampton University-0.10+2.11vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.32-2.92vs Predicted
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10George Washington University0.70-2.18vs Predicted
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11William and Mary-0.36-0.17vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland-0.08-1.47vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech-0.52-1.78vs Predicted
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14American University-0.91-1.94vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University-0.87-2.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78Georgetown University2.2018.9%1st Place
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3.34Georgetown University2.4224.8%1st Place
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7.07Rollins College0.955.6%1st Place
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4.87St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7910.5%1st Place
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6.17U. S. Naval Academy1.258.1%1st Place
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6.51St. Mary's College of Maryland1.166.0%1st Place
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7.5Old Dominion University0.956.0%1st Place
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10.11Hampton University-0.102.1%1st Place
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6.08U. S. Naval Academy1.326.8%1st Place
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7.82George Washington University0.704.2%1st Place
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10.83William and Mary-0.361.8%1st Place
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10.53University of Maryland-0.081.7%1st Place
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11.22Virginia Tech-0.521.2%1st Place
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12.06American University-0.911.2%1st Place
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12.1Christopher Newport University-0.871.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 18.9% | 18.7% | 15.6% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Enzo Menditto | 24.8% | 19.5% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Landon Cormie | 10.5% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hugh Carty | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Henry Haddon | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Tommaso Ciaglia | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 6.4% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Eric Johnson | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 12.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 9.0% |
| Matt Averyt | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 14.8% |
| Anika Liner | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 27.5% |
| Walter Roou | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 27.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.