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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College4.05+6.73vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.98+6.09vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+7.44vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.24+7.40vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.95+3.19vs Predicted
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6Washington College3.07+6.34vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.36-0.25vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.47+2.20vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-0.76vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.80-1.14vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.40-0.23vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.60-1.95vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+0.04vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University4.01-6.11vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.16-3.23vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.41-5.39vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida3.49-6.94vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-9.35vs Predicted
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19Queen's University1.29-1.10vs Predicted
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20University of Miami1.72-2.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.73Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.09Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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10.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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11.4Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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8.19College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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12.34Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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6.75Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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10.2Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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8.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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8.86Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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10.77Fordham University3.400.0%1st Place
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10.05SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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13.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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7.89Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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11.77Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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10.61University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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10.06University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.65Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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17.9Queen's University1.290.0%1st Place
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17.04University of Miami1.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wefer | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Colin Smith | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Ben Spector | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Nevin Snow | 9.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Needham | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Alex Jacob | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Harry Scott | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 3.8% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 1.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Will Stocke | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Stubbins | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 19.1% | 51.4% |
| Matthew Sussmane | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 10.4% | 26.2% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.