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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.40+9.67vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.95+6.15vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+6.08vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+4.41vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University4.01+2.89vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+4.40vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.82vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.47+2.15vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.60+0.70vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.41+0.59vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.98-2.81vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.49-1.47vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.05-4.91vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.16-2.28vs Predicted
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15Washington College3.07-2.88vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.72+0.83vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College3.24-5.68vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-5.15vs Predicted
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19Queen's University1.29-1.14vs Predicted
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20Georgetown University4.36-13.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.67Fordham University3.400.0%1st Place
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8.15College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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9.08Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.41St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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7.89Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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10.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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8.82Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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10.15Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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9.7SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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8.19Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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10.53University of South Florida3.490.1%1st Place
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8.09Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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11.72Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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12.12Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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16.83University of Miami1.720.0%1st Place
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11.32Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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12.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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17.86Queen's University1.290.0%1st Place
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6.64Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Jacob | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Ben Spector | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Connor Needham | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Harry Scott | 3.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Colin Smith | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Will Stocke | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Gram Slattery | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Sussmane | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 9.6% | 25.7% | 32.2% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 4.0% |
| Spencer Stubbins | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 20.1% | 50.3% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.