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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy1.25+5.11vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.42+1.37vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.70+4.61vs Predicted
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4Rollins College0.95+2.96vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.32+1.02vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.20-2.19vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-2.41vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland-0.08+2.33vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.27-0.01vs Predicted
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10William and Mary-0.79+1.94vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech-0.52+0.27vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16-5.69vs Predicted
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13Christopher Newport University-0.34-2.24vs Predicted
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14American University-0.91-2.11vs Predicted
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15Hampton University-0.10-4.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.11U. S. Naval Academy1.257.6%1st Place
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3.37Georgetown University2.4223.5%1st Place
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7.61George Washington University0.705.1%1st Place
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6.96Rollins College0.955.6%1st Place
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6.02U. S. Naval Academy1.327.1%1st Place
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3.81Georgetown University2.2019.0%1st Place
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4.59St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7913.2%1st Place
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10.33University of Maryland-0.081.8%1st Place
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8.99Old Dominion University0.273.0%1st Place
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11.94William and Mary-0.790.8%1st Place
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11.27Virginia Tech-0.521.1%1st Place
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6.31St. Mary's College of Maryland1.166.7%1st Place
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10.76Christopher Newport University-0.341.2%1st Place
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11.89American University-0.911.1%1st Place
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10.04Hampton University-0.103.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugh Carty | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Enzo Menditto | 23.5% | 19.6% | 16.6% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Milo Miller | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 7.1% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 19.0% | 17.4% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Landon Cormie | 13.2% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jared Cohen | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 8.2% |
| Emma Friedauer | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Elizabeth van der Voort | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 19.1% | 24.2% |
| Matt Averyt | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 17.3% |
| Henry Haddon | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sebastian Beavers | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 11.7% |
| Anika Liner | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 27.1% |
| Tommaso Ciaglia | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.