← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.42+2.30vs Predicted
-
2Rollins College0.95+4.90vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.20+0.71vs Predicted
-
4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.16+2.40vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy1.32+0.99vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.79-1.30vs Predicted
-
7University of Maryland-0.08+3.26vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy1.25-1.83vs Predicted
-
9American University-0.91+3.05vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University0.70-2.42vs Predicted
-
11William and Mary-0.79+0.81vs Predicted
-
12Old Dominion University0.27-2.93vs Predicted
-
13Virginia Tech-0.52-1.86vs Predicted
-
14Hampton University-0.10-3.75vs Predicted
-
15Christopher Newport University-0.34-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.3Georgetown University2.4225.1%1st Place
-
6.9Rollins College0.955.3%1st Place
-
3.71Georgetown University2.2019.8%1st Place
-
6.4St. Mary's College of Maryland1.167.0%1st Place
-
5.99U. S. Naval Academy1.326.3%1st Place
-
4.7St. Mary's College of Maryland1.7911.5%1st Place
-
10.26University of Maryland-0.081.9%1st Place
-
6.17U. S. Naval Academy1.257.8%1st Place
-
12.05American University-0.910.9%1st Place
-
7.58George Washington University0.704.2%1st Place
-
11.81William and Mary-0.791.5%1st Place
-
9.07Old Dominion University0.272.6%1st Place
-
11.14Virginia Tech-0.522.0%1st Place
-
10.25Hampton University-0.101.8%1st Place
-
10.66Christopher Newport University-0.342.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Enzo Menditto | 25.1% | 19.6% | 16.0% | 13.0% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Milo Miller | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Piper Holthus | 19.8% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Henry Haddon | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Spencer Dominguez | 6.3% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Landon Cormie | 11.5% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jared Cohen | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 9.2% |
| Hugh Carty | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Anika Liner | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 17.3% | 27.8% |
| Tryg van Wyk | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth van der Voort | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 24.4% |
| Emma Friedauer | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| Matt Averyt | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 15.7% |
| Tommaso Ciaglia | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 11.2% | 8.0% |
| Sebastian Beavers | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 10.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.