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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University3.40+9.64vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92+6.35vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.60+6.91vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University4.36+2.55vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.95+3.15vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+2.96vs Predicted
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7Washington College3.07+5.53vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont3.41+2.37vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University4.01-1.11vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.98-1.89vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.16+0.89vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.72+4.98vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College3.24-1.20vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95-1.35vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College4.05-7.16vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49-5.75vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.47-6.77vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.49-7.60vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-10.48vs Predicted
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20Queen's University1.29-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.64Fordham University3.400.0%1st Place
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8.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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9.91SUNY Maritime College3.600.1%1st Place
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6.55Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.15College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.96Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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12.53Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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7.89Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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8.11Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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11.89Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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16.98University of Miami1.720.0%1st Place
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11.8Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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12.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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7.84Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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10.25St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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10.23Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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10.4University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.52Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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17.99Queen's University1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Jacob | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Harry Scott | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Nevin Snow | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ben Spector | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Nate Jermain | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Dillon Paiva | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Colin Smith | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 2.1% |
| Matthew Sussmane | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 27.1% | 32.4% |
| Wesley Byrne | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Bates | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 3.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.6% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Markus Edegran | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Connor Needham | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Will Stocke | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Stubbins | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 7.5% | 20.6% | 51.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.