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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University0.93+3.45vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.45+2.15vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University1.86-0.14vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.96vs Predicted
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5Christopher Newport University-0.84+0.76vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.68-1.12vs Predicted
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7University of Virginia-0.03-0.60vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy0.52-2.79vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.20-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45George Washington University0.9312.3%1st Place
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4.15University of Pennsylvania1.4513.5%1st Place
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2.86Georgetown University1.8628.0%1st Place
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4.96St. Mary's College of Maryland0.679.8%1st Place
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5.76Christopher Newport University-0.847.5%1st Place
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4.88Old Dominion University0.6810.2%1st Place
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6.4University of Virginia-0.034.5%1st Place
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5.21U. S. Naval Academy0.529.3%1st Place
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6.33Washington College0.204.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avery Canavan | 12.3% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 4.2% |
| Madeleine Rice | 13.5% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Kelly Bates | 28.0% | 23.6% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 9.8% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 7.7% |
| Laura Smith | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 15.7% | 16.1% |
| Megan Geith | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 6.5% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 17.6% | 28.1% |
| Aubin Hattendorf | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 10.3% |
| Kennedy Jones | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 24.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.