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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.52+4.22vs Predicted
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2George Washington University0.93+2.53vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University-0.84+2.69vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.98vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.86-2.17vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania1.45-1.84vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.68-2.01vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.20-1.70vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia-0.03-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22U. S. Naval Academy0.529.4%1st Place
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4.53George Washington University0.9311.2%1st Place
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5.69Christopher Newport University-0.846.8%1st Place
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4.98St. Mary's College of Maryland0.6710.0%1st Place
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2.83Georgetown University1.8629.3%1st Place
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4.16University of Pennsylvania1.4513.9%1st Place
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4.99Old Dominion University0.688.7%1st Place
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6.3Washington College0.204.8%1st Place
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6.29University of Virginia-0.035.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aubin Hattendorf | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 10.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 11.2% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 4.8% |
| Laura Smith | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 15.7% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 7.9% |
| Kelly Bates | 29.3% | 22.2% | 18.2% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Madeleine Rice | 13.9% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Megan Geith | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 7.9% |
| Kennedy Jones | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 13.2% | 18.1% | 23.5% |
| Anna Groszkowski | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.