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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.0%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.98+7.06vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+4.47vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.05+4.90vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.16+7.78vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.47+5.31vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.60+3.90vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+3.60vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.95+4.52vs Predicted
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9University of Miami1.72+7.98vs Predicted
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10Washington College3.07+2.23vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.95-2.74vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-3.21vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.80-3.79vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.92-5.74vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.40-4.30vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.41-5.39vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University4.01-9.25vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida3.49-7.66vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College3.24-7.65vs Predicted
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20Queen's University1.29-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.06Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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6.47Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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7.9Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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11.78Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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10.31Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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9.9SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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10.6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.0%1st Place
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12.52U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.950.0%1st Place
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16.98University of Miami1.720.0%1st Place
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12.23Washington College3.070.0%1st Place
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8.26College of Charleston3.950.1%1st Place
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8.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.21Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.920.1%1st Place
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10.7Fordham University3.400.0%1st Place
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10.61University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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7.75Old Dominion University4.010.1%1st Place
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10.34University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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11.35Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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18.0Queen's University1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Smith | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nevin Snow | 11.0% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 2.1% |
| Connor Needham | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Harry Scott | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Markus Edegran | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Bates | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 4.2% |
| Matthew Sussmane | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 28.8% | 29.6% |
| Sam Fitzgerald | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 2.5% |
| Ben Spector | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Joshua Greenslade | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Alex Jacob | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Dillon Paiva | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Will Stocke | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Spencer Stubbins | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 18.3% | 53.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.