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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+4.00vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.45+2.10vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy0.52+2.22vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia-0.03+2.39vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University1.86-2.21vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University-0.84-0.34vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.68-2.10vs Predicted
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8George Washington University0.93-3.42vs Predicted
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9Washington College0.20-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.0St. Mary's College of Maryland0.679.8%1st Place
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4.1University of Pennsylvania1.4514.8%1st Place
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5.22U. S. Naval Academy0.528.5%1st Place
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6.39University of Virginia-0.035.9%1st Place
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2.79Georgetown University1.8628.1%1st Place
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5.66Christopher Newport University-0.847.0%1st Place
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4.9Old Dominion University0.6810.0%1st Place
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4.58George Washington University0.9311.5%1st Place
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6.35Washington College0.204.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Cho-Cho Williams | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 7.3% |
Madeleine Rice | 14.8% | 15.2% | 14.7% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
Aubin Hattendorf | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 9.3% |
Anna Groszkowski | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 17.0% | 28.7% |
Kelly Bates | 28.1% | 24.6% | 17.5% | 13.2% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
Laura Smith | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 14.9% |
Megan Geith | 10.0% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 7.1% |
Avery Canavan | 11.5% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 4.0% |
Kennedy Jones | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 18.3% | 25.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.