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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+6.13vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.51+6.49vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.15+7.09vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.49+4.62vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.72vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+0.38vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.62+1.35vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.65+7.62vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.69-1.36vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.24-0.36vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.81+4.22vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.04+2.62vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-4.81vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.77-2.37vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.74-7.43vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.78-4.40vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.28-3.52vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.06-7.51vs Predicted
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19Harvard University3.49-10.48vs Predicted
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20Queen's University0.01-0.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.13Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.49Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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10.09University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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8.62Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.38St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.35College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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15.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.650.0%1st Place
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7.64Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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9.64University of Vermont3.240.0%1st Place
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15.22Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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14.62Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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8.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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11.63Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.57Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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11.6Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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13.48University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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10.49SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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8.52Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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19.01Queen's University0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 8.6% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Scott Houck | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Michael Grove | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Francois Conde-Jahn | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 23.1% | 9.7% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Crane | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 11.7% | 17.2% | 20.8% | 7.6% |
| Alex Reynolds | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 16.6% | 19.3% | 3.5% |
| Louis Padnos | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.1% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Ben Jassin | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 2.3% |
| Tyler Steel | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Brian Drumm | 6.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Smyth | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 74.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.