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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.52+5.85vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.33+5.69vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont4.60+3.70vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+2.69vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.25+6.51vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire2.78+7.21vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33-0.30vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.28-1.24vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut2.51+3.90vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.85-5.18vs Predicted
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12Boston College4.89-6.09vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.74-3.14vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.00+0.89vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.65-4.62vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College4.06-7.33vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.92-7.73vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University4.78-11.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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7.69Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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6.7University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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11.51Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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13.21University of New Hampshire2.780.0%1st Place
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7.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
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7.76Brown University4.280.1%1st Place
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13.9University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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5.82Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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5.91Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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9.86Connecticut College3.740.0%1st Place
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14.89Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Rhode Island3.650.0%1st Place
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8.67Dartmouth College4.060.0%1st Place
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9.27Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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6.2Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Palmer | 9.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tomas Hornos | 7.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Clinton Hayes | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Alex Takata | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 6.9% |
| Gregg Griffin | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 15.9% | 19.1% | 16.9% |
| Joshua Leighton | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Jeff Knowles | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Sean Andrew | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 24.1% | 23.2% |
| Thomas Barrows | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Sinks | 13.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matt Sterett | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 12.9% | 19.2% | 44.9% |
| Ben Quatromoni | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 2.6% |
| Sam Williams | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Cy Thompson | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.