Race 11A

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Iain Shand 22.4% 22.6% 19.1% 14.0% 10.5% 5.8% 3.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Robert Riecker 34.9% 26.5% 17.3% 10.7% 5.7% 3.5% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sophie Grigg 9.3% 10.1% 13.4% 14.3% 14.1% 12.8% 10.8% 8.1% 4.8% 1.9% 0.4%
Rose von Eckartsberg 3.1% 4.1% 4.4% 7.0% 7.4% 9.4% 14.1% 14.0% 16.1% 12.2% 8.1%
Charlotte Stillman 10.2% 13.1% 15.3% 16.1% 13.8% 12.3% 9.0% 5.1% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4%
Mac Fitzgerald 3.5% 3.1% 4.5% 6.0% 8.1% 10.9% 11.9% 13.7% 14.6% 13.3% 10.3%
Addie Perez 3.3% 5.1% 5.8% 7.0% 9.2% 10.6% 13.1% 14.8% 11.8% 12.0% 7.4%
Myles Wommack 1.6% 2.4% 2.9% 3.8% 4.2% 5.3% 7.4% 10.3% 13.7% 20.3% 28.1%
Justin McDaniel 2.5% 2.3% 3.9% 5.1% 6.5% 9.2% 10.1% 12.6% 14.6% 17.1% 16.3%
Alice Kilkelly 1.8% 2.1% 2.8% 4.2% 5.1% 6.3% 8.1% 10.0% 13.6% 18.6% 27.7%
Hannah Arey 7.3% 8.7% 10.8% 11.8% 15.5% 13.9% 11.2% 9.4% 7.1% 3.0% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.