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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University1.86+1.78vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.45+2.22vs Predicted
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3George Washington University0.93+1.55vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.67+0.98vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University0.68-0.06vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.20+0.27vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy0.52-1.78vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia-0.03-1.66vs Predicted
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9Christopher Newport University-0.84-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78Georgetown University1.8630.5%1st Place
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4.22University of Pennsylvania1.4513.2%1st Place
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4.55George Washington University0.9312.4%1st Place
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4.98St. Mary's College of Maryland0.679.6%1st Place
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4.94Old Dominion University0.688.6%1st Place
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6.27Washington College0.205.5%1st Place
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5.22U. S. Naval Academy0.529.0%1st Place
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6.34University of Virginia-0.035.1%1st Place
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5.7Christopher Newport University-0.846.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
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Kelly Bates | 30.5% | 23.8% | 16.5% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
Madeleine Rice | 13.2% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
Avery Canavan | 12.4% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 4.3% |
Cho-Cho Williams | 9.6% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 7.2% |
Megan Geith | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 12.7% | 13.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 7.7% |
Kennedy Jones | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 25.1% |
Aubin Hattendorf | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 10.0% |
Anna Groszkowski | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 16.9% | 26.5% |
Laura Smith | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 14.7% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.