Race 1A

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brielle Willoughby 17.2% 17.4% 13.9% 12.4% 10.3% 7.7% 8.5% 5.6% 3.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Emily Mueller 9.9% 8.6% 10.5% 11.2% 9.5% 9.6% 7.8% 8.8% 8.3% 6.2% 5.9% 2.9% 0.8%
Emily Bornarth 9.5% 12.0% 13.5% 10.2% 11.2% 9.6% 8.8% 7.0% 7.6% 5.0% 4.0% 1.4% 0.3%
Ella Hubbard 6.3% 6.2% 7.1% 8.2% 8.8% 9.6% 8.6% 10.2% 10.7% 10.1% 8.2% 5.5% 0.6%
Christine Reimer 3.4% 4.2% 4.3% 5.1% 4.5% 6.5% 7.5% 7.8% 10.6% 10.8% 15.8% 14.7% 4.8%
Elizabeth Amelotte 2.3% 2.4% 2.1% 3.2% 2.9% 3.7% 4.7% 6.0% 6.5% 10.1% 13.7% 28.2% 14.3%
Eva Ermlich 10.6% 10.4% 9.4% 9.0% 10.5% 9.8% 9.2% 8.6% 7.6% 8.2% 4.4% 1.8% 0.4%
Tiare Sierra 6.3% 7.2% 6.8% 7.8% 7.8% 8.8% 10.2% 10.2% 9.7% 9.8% 8.9% 4.9% 1.4%
Katherine McGagh 4.5% 3.2% 3.6% 4.3% 5.1% 5.9% 7.1% 8.6% 9.4% 11.6% 13.7% 17.3% 5.6%
Leah Rickard 6.1% 5.0% 5.9% 6.5% 6.8% 7.0% 7.1% 8.9% 10.2% 12.0% 12.6% 9.5% 2.5%
Taylor Eastman 10.3% 10.4% 9.5% 9.3% 10.4% 10.6% 10.1% 8.1% 7.4% 7.1% 4.5% 2.1% 0.1%
Sarah Young 12.9% 12.4% 12.8% 11.8% 11.1% 9.8% 9.2% 8.2% 5.7% 3.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Katherine Weaver 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 1.3% 1.8% 2.8% 3.4% 5.0% 11.2% 69.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.