← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University3.82+6.09vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.72vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College2.63+9.19vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.62+4.00vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+2.70vs Predicted
-
6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+0.35vs Predicted
-
7Brown University3.69+0.91vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida3.15+1.68vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.49-0.60vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.74-2.56vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University3.49-2.47vs Predicted
-
12University of Vermont3.24-2.25vs Predicted
-
13Roger Williams University2.77-1.14vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University3.51-5.61vs Predicted
-
15University of Miami2.28-1.57vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University2.04-1.70vs Predicted
-
17Eckerd College2.78-5.62vs Predicted
-
18Washington College1.81-2.79vs Predicted
-
19Queen's University0.01-0.11vs Predicted
-
20U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.65-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.09Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
7.72U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
12.19SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
-
8.0College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
-
7.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
-
6.35St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
-
7.91Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
9.68University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
-
8.4Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.44Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
8.53Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
-
9.75University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
-
11.86Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
-
8.39Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
-
13.43University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
-
14.3Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
-
11.38Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
-
15.21Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
-
18.89Queen's University0.010.0%1st Place
-
15.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Nick Johnstone | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Louis Padnos | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 10.1% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Scott Houck | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Crane | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 3.2% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 0.8% |
| Alex Post | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ben Jassin | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 10.3% | 3.2% |
| Alex Reynolds | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 14.5% | 4.5% |
| Robert Savoie | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 15.1% | 20.0% | 7.8% |
| Alex Smyth | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 10.8% | 71.9% |
| Francois Conde-Jahn | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 14.3% | 25.5% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.