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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.60+4.64vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.55+3.83vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+2.47vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.79+3.49vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.04-0.81vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.76+2.61vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.13+2.65vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.14-1.45vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.10-4.20vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.49-1.39vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.22-5.31vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.15-5.39vs Predicted
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13McGill University-1.22-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.64Dartmouth College1.6010.4%1st Place
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5.83Brown University1.559.2%1st Place
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5.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0310.3%1st Place
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7.49University of Rhode Island0.795.1%1st Place
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4.19Brown University2.0416.2%1st Place
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8.61Bowdoin College0.763.5%1st Place
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9.65University of Vermont-0.132.5%1st Place
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6.55Boston University1.147.5%1st Place
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4.8Dartmouth College2.1014.1%1st Place
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8.61Roger Williams University0.493.2%1st Place
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5.69Northeastern University1.229.3%1st Place
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6.61Tufts University1.157.6%1st Place
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11.86McGill University-1.220.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Taylor Eastman | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
Emily Mueller | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.1% |
Emily Bornarth | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
Leah Rickard | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 3.2% |
Brielle Willoughby | 16.2% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Christine Reimer | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 16.6% | 5.9% |
Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 15.0% | 25.1% | 14.1% |
Tiare Sierra | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
Sarah Young | 14.1% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
Katherine McGagh | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 7.1% |
Eva Ermlich | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
Ella Hubbard | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
Katherine Weaver | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 13.3% | 66.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.