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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Taylor Eastman 10.4% 10.2% 8.9% 9.5% 10.8% 10.2% 9.9% 9.2% 7.4% 5.8% 5.0% 2.4% 0.3%
Emily Mueller 9.2% 8.6% 10.3% 9.8% 10.2% 9.9% 9.1% 9.8% 8.2% 6.6% 5.2% 2.9% 0.1%
Emily Bornarth 10.3% 11.8% 9.7% 11.0% 9.8% 9.3% 9.7% 8.3% 8.4% 5.5% 4.2% 1.7% 0.3%
Leah Rickard 5.1% 6.5% 5.8% 6.1% 7.1% 7.3% 8.0% 8.7% 10.2% 10.4% 12.2% 9.4% 3.2%
Brielle Willoughby 16.2% 16.2% 14.0% 13.8% 11.7% 8.3% 7.1% 5.6% 4.0% 1.6% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Christine Reimer 3.5% 3.1% 4.0% 4.0% 5.7% 5.8% 6.5% 8.2% 9.5% 12.2% 15.2% 16.6% 5.9%
Elizabeth Amelotte 2.5% 2.2% 2.9% 3.2% 3.0% 3.5% 5.0% 6.3% 6.6% 10.7% 15.0% 25.1% 14.1%
Tiare Sierra 7.5% 7.0% 7.8% 8.3% 8.4% 9.7% 9.1% 9.7% 8.8% 9.9% 8.3% 4.5% 0.8%
Sarah Young 14.1% 12.7% 12.0% 12.1% 10.8% 9.4% 9.0% 7.0% 5.9% 4.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Katherine McGagh 3.2% 3.8% 4.0% 4.5% 5.1% 5.4% 6.3% 8.2% 10.4% 12.1% 14.4% 15.6% 7.1%
Eva Ermlich 9.3% 9.8% 11.0% 9.8% 9.6% 10.0% 9.4% 8.5% 8.8% 7.3% 4.2% 1.9% 0.4%
Ella Hubbard 7.6% 7.5% 8.6% 6.9% 7.0% 10.0% 9.5% 8.8% 9.4% 10.4% 7.8% 5.5% 0.9%
Katherine Weaver 0.9% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 1.7% 2.4% 3.3% 5.5% 13.3% 66.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.