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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.52+5.97vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.89+3.76vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+3.75vs Predicted
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4Brown University4.49+3.34vs Predicted
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5Tufts University4.33+2.65vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.85-0.84vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire2.78+5.12vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.74+0.82vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont4.60-2.98vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.92-1.71vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College4.06-3.02vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.25-1.31vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.00+0.98vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.92-5.47vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut2.51-2.21vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33-9.13vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University4.78-11.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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5.76Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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6.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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7.34Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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7.65Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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6.16Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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13.12University of New Hampshire2.780.0%1st Place
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9.82Connecticut College3.740.0%1st Place
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7.02University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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9.29Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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8.98Dartmouth College4.060.0%1st Place
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11.69Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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14.98Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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9.53University of Rhode Island3.920.0%1st Place
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13.79University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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7.87Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
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6.28Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Palmer | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Sinks | 12.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Fred Strammer | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Tomas Hornos | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Thomas Barrows | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gregg Griffin | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 18.2% | 19.4% | 15.2% |
| Matt Sterett | 4.8% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 1.9% |
| Clinton Hayes | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Sam Williams | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Alex Takata | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 7.7% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 19.6% | 48.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Sean Andrew | 1.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 15.0% | 24.5% | 22.6% |
| Joshua Leighton | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Cy Thompson | 9.3% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.