Race 12A

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sophie Grigg 10.2% 10.0% 13.1% 14.5% 13.2% 14.3% 10.5% 7.8% 3.9% 1.8% 0.6%
Robert Riecker 34.4% 26.6% 17.4% 9.8% 7.2% 3.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Charlotte Stillman 10.8% 13.5% 14.2% 14.4% 14.5% 13.5% 9.2% 6.7% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4%
Iain Shand 21.8% 21.2% 19.0% 17.3% 9.2% 6.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Rose von Eckartsberg 3.5% 4.5% 5.2% 7.0% 8.1% 10.5% 12.8% 12.9% 13.6% 13.4% 8.7%
Addie Perez 3.8% 4.5% 6.0% 8.0% 9.5% 10.0% 10.9% 14.5% 14.3% 11.4% 7.1%
Mac Fitzgerald 3.7% 3.5% 6.2% 6.2% 8.1% 9.3% 12.7% 12.2% 14.2% 14.0% 10.0%
Myles Wommack 1.6% 1.9% 2.6% 2.9% 5.0% 5.8% 7.7% 9.6% 12.6% 20.5% 29.8%
Justin McDaniel 2.4% 3.0% 4.2% 4.3% 6.6% 8.3% 9.9% 12.8% 17.1% 15.8% 15.7%
Alice Kilkelly 1.8% 2.3% 2.8% 3.5% 5.2% 5.3% 9.0% 10.9% 14.3% 17.9% 26.8%
Hannah Arey 6.2% 9.0% 9.3% 11.9% 13.5% 13.4% 13.2% 10.9% 7.7% 4.2% 0.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.