Race 3A

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

23.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brielle Willoughby 17.5% 16.5% 13.2% 13.7% 10.4% 8.2% 7.1% 6.1% 3.5% 2.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Taylor Eastman 10.3% 10.5% 10.1% 9.8% 10.7% 9.2% 9.8% 8.2% 8.1% 6.9% 4.2% 2.1% 0.2%
Emily Mueller 8.8% 9.4% 10.2% 8.9% 9.8% 10.7% 9.7% 8.7% 9.6% 6.4% 4.8% 2.5% 0.5%
Emily Bornarth 10.9% 11.5% 10.5% 10.4% 10.7% 10.7% 8.6% 8.6% 7.1% 5.7% 2.9% 2.2% 0.2%
Katherine McGagh 3.5% 3.5% 4.8% 4.4% 5.0% 5.0% 6.6% 6.2% 9.3% 12.6% 15.3% 17.7% 5.9%
Christine Reimer 4.1% 4.7% 4.3% 4.8% 4.7% 6.1% 6.9% 7.0% 9.8% 11.7% 16.2% 14.4% 5.3%
Sarah Young 13.9% 12.7% 11.7% 11.2% 11.5% 9.8% 8.0% 7.6% 6.3% 4.5% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Leah Rickard 5.1% 4.9% 5.5% 5.7% 6.2% 7.5% 8.6% 9.4% 10.3% 12.4% 12.0% 9.4% 2.6%
Ella Hubbard 6.7% 7.3% 7.4% 8.6% 8.6% 7.8% 9.1% 11.5% 9.6% 9.4% 7.6% 5.0% 1.5%
Eva Ermlich 9.3% 8.9% 10.7% 9.8% 9.5% 10.8% 10.1% 8.8% 6.3% 8.2% 5.3% 2.1% 0.2%
Tiare Sierra 6.6% 7.4% 7.8% 8.1% 8.7% 8.6% 10.0% 9.3% 10.3% 8.5% 8.0% 5.1% 1.6%
Elizabeth Amelotte 2.4% 2.1% 3.1% 3.5% 3.1% 4.4% 4.2% 7.0% 6.9% 8.7% 14.7% 26.0% 13.9%
Katherine Weaver 0.7% 0.5% 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% 1.7% 2.9% 2.9% 6.0% 12.2% 67.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.