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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.24+8.54vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+5.10vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.69+4.81vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.51+4.45vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.71vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.74+1.51vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.49+1.76vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.77+3.35vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.78+2.40vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-2.23vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.04+3.37vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-5.52vs Predicted
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13Washington College1.81+2.39vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.49-5.53vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.63-2.91vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.15-6.11vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.62-9.19vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.65-2.32vs Predicted
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19University of Miami2.28-5.56vs Predicted
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20Queen's University0.01-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.54University of Vermont3.240.0%1st Place
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7.1Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.81Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.45Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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7.71U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.51Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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8.76Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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11.35Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.4Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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7.77Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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14.37Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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6.48St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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15.39Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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8.47Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.09SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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9.89University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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7.81College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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15.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.650.0%1st Place
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13.44University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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18.98Queen's University0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Crane | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Esteban Forrer | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Scott Houck | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Henry Vogel | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 0.8% |
| Robert Savoie | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Louis Padnos | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Alex Reynolds | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 4.1% |
| Fletcher Sims | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 16.5% | 21.5% | 8.8% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Paxton | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nick Johnstone | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Francois Conde-Jahn | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 24.9% | 9.3% |
| Ben Jassin | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 9.7% | 2.1% |
| Alex Smyth | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 5.2% | 11.1% | 73.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.