Race 4A

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emily Mueller 9.8% 9.9% 9.8% 9.9% 9.6% 9.8% 9.6% 8.2% 8.7% 6.9% 4.8% 2.8% 0.5%
Brielle Willoughby 17.2% 16.3% 15.2% 11.5% 10.7% 9.7% 6.9% 5.1% 3.6% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Taylor Eastman 8.8% 10.1% 10.1% 10.7% 11.2% 9.4% 10.0% 9.2% 7.0% 7.0% 4.2% 1.9% 0.4%
Elizabeth Amelotte 2.1% 1.9% 2.5% 2.9% 3.4% 4.7% 4.2% 5.5% 6.8% 9.6% 14.9% 28.2% 13.4%
Christine Reimer 3.5% 3.9% 4.0% 5.2% 5.2% 5.8% 7.7% 8.2% 9.3% 10.4% 15.2% 16.2% 5.3%
Ella Hubbard 7.9% 6.5% 8.0% 8.1% 8.3% 8.2% 10.2% 8.8% 10.8% 9.2% 8.0% 5.1% 0.9%
Katherine McGagh 3.1% 2.9% 3.4% 4.0% 5.1% 5.8% 6.9% 9.0% 10.5% 12.4% 14.9% 16.1% 5.8%
Tiare Sierra 7.0% 7.7% 8.3% 7.5% 7.8% 9.1% 8.3% 10.4% 9.7% 9.6% 7.7% 5.8% 1.0%
Sarah Young 13.9% 13.6% 11.7% 10.7% 9.6% 9.3% 8.7% 7.8% 6.2% 5.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Eva Ermlich 9.6% 10.4% 9.0% 9.8% 10.8% 8.8% 10.2% 8.2% 8.2% 7.0% 5.5% 2.1% 0.3%
Leah Rickard 4.7% 5.1% 6.8% 7.0% 7.7% 8.2% 7.5% 9.6% 9.9% 11.7% 11.2% 8.8% 1.8%
Emily Bornarth 11.7% 11.1% 10.5% 11.8% 10.0% 10.2% 8.6% 8.1% 6.9% 5.9% 3.9% 1.4% 0.1%
Katherine Weaver 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 0.9% 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.8% 2.3% 2.9% 6.4% 10.4% 70.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.