Race 5A

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brielle Willoughby 19.2% 15.1% 13.0% 11.7% 10.2% 9.1% 8.0% 6.2% 3.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.1%
Emily Bornarth 10.4% 10.1% 11.6% 11.0% 9.8% 9.2% 10.7% 9.6% 6.8% 5.5% 4.2% 1.0% 0.4%
Eva Ermlich 10.2% 10.1% 9.7% 10.4% 9.8% 9.4% 8.8% 8.2% 8.8% 6.2% 5.1% 3.1% 0.2%
Emily Mueller 10.2% 9.8% 10.4% 9.1% 9.8% 10.0% 8.5% 8.9% 9.3% 6.7% 4.5% 2.3% 0.5%
Sarah Young 12.9% 13.6% 12.5% 12.4% 12.0% 9.4% 8.1% 8.1% 4.5% 3.5% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Tiare Sierra 6.3% 6.9% 7.9% 8.3% 8.6% 7.6% 11.3% 9.2% 9.4% 10.4% 7.8% 4.9% 1.2%
Leah Rickard 5.3% 5.7% 6.3% 7.0% 6.9% 7.5% 7.3% 8.8% 9.8% 11.6% 11.8% 8.6% 3.2%
Katherine McGagh 3.3% 3.6% 3.2% 4.7% 4.8% 6.2% 6.0% 7.6% 9.2% 11.6% 16.0% 17.2% 6.6%
Ella Hubbard 6.7% 8.1% 8.6% 7.1% 8.4% 9.3% 9.4% 9.3% 9.6% 9.3% 7.4% 5.6% 0.9%
Christine Reimer 3.2% 3.8% 4.3% 4.6% 5.5% 6.0% 6.1% 7.7% 10.0% 12.6% 15.6% 14.8% 5.9%
Taylor Eastman 9.8% 9.8% 9.7% 10.0% 10.1% 10.8% 9.8% 8.1% 9.0% 6.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.4%
Elizabeth Amelotte 1.8% 2.5% 1.9% 2.6% 3.4% 4.1% 3.9% 6.4% 8.1% 10.2% 13.7% 27.3% 14.2%
Katherine Weaver 0.4% 1.1% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 1.4% 2.1% 2.0% 2.5% 3.6% 6.3% 11.8% 66.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.