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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.77+10.52vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+5.38vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.24+6.67vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.49+4.50vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.51+3.28vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.78+5.61vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.49+1.75vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.04+6.17vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.63+3.11vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.69-2.35vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.67-3.19vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-4.04vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-6.43vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.62-6.13vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.81+0.04vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University3.82-8.93vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.65-1.47vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.28-4.38vs Predicted
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19University of South Florida3.15-9.14vs Predicted
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20Queen's University0.01-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.52Roger Williams University2.770.0%1st Place
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7.38Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.67University of Vermont3.240.1%1st Place
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8.5Dartmouth College3.490.1%1st Place
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8.28Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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11.61Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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8.75Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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14.17Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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12.11SUNY Maritime College2.630.0%1st Place
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7.65Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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7.81U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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7.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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6.57St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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7.87College of Charleston3.620.1%1st Place
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15.04Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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7.07Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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15.53U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.650.0%1st Place
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13.62University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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9.86University of South Florida3.150.0%1st Place
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19.02Queen's University0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Henry Vogel | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 0.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Crane | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Scott Houck | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alex Post | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alex Reynolds | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 4.4% |
| Julia Paxton | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 0.6% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Grove | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Louis Padnos | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Johnstone | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 21.8% | 7.3% |
| Esteban Forrer | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francois Conde-Jahn | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 22.4% | 8.9% |
| Ben Jassin | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 2.5% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Alex Smyth | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 11.0% | 74.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.