Race 6A

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ella Hubbard 7.6% 7.6% 7.3% 8.6% 8.5% 8.6% 8.7% 8.7% 9.3% 9.6% 8.5% 5.3% 1.6%
Brielle Willoughby 17.0% 14.9% 13.8% 13.2% 11.3% 9.8% 7.6% 5.5% 3.0% 2.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Taylor Eastman 10.9% 9.4% 11.3% 9.4% 9.2% 9.2% 9.7% 8.8% 8.0% 6.2% 5.5% 1.8% 0.5%
Emily Mueller 9.9% 9.2% 8.8% 8.7% 9.9% 10.6% 9.9% 9.3% 8.6% 7.2% 5.6% 1.8% 0.5%
Eva Ermlich 8.8% 10.9% 10.3% 9.4% 10.2% 10.4% 9.7% 8.9% 7.9% 6.2% 4.4% 2.3% 0.5%
Christine Reimer 3.7% 4.1% 4.7% 4.6% 5.0% 5.5% 6.8% 8.3% 11.1% 11.5% 14.4% 15.2% 5.2%
Leah Rickard 5.7% 5.0% 5.8% 6.7% 7.0% 8.0% 8.9% 9.7% 10.2% 11.8% 10.7% 8.0% 2.5%
Elizabeth Amelotte 2.1% 3.0% 3.0% 3.3% 2.6% 3.1% 5.0% 5.1% 7.5% 8.3% 15.7% 27.3% 13.9%
Katherine McGagh 3.4% 4.0% 4.0% 3.8% 5.9% 6.2% 6.0% 8.2% 9.0% 12.8% 14.0% 16.6% 6.3%
Tiare Sierra 7.0% 7.3% 7.6% 8.2% 8.3% 8.2% 9.8% 8.9% 9.6% 9.4% 8.6% 5.7% 1.6%
Emily Bornarth 11.3% 11.2% 11.0% 11.1% 9.6% 9.4% 9.2% 8.1% 6.8% 6.6% 3.8% 1.8% 0.1%
Sarah Young 12.0% 12.9% 11.9% 12.0% 11.6% 9.7% 7.7% 8.2% 6.3% 4.2% 2.3% 1.0% 0.2%
Katherine Weaver 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 1.1% 2.2% 2.6% 3.9% 5.2% 13.2% 67.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.