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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.04+3.14vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+3.47vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University0.49+5.61vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.22+1.90vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.79+2.40vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.55-0.10vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont-0.13+2.62vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.15-1.33vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.76-0.57vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.10-5.28vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.60-5.34vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.14-5.37vs Predicted
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13McGill University-1.22-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Brown University2.0417.4%1st Place
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5.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0310.3%1st Place
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8.61Roger Williams University0.493.9%1st Place
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5.9Northeastern University1.229.6%1st Place
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7.4University of Rhode Island0.795.3%1st Place
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5.9Brown University1.558.5%1st Place
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9.62University of Vermont-0.132.8%1st Place
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6.67Tufts University1.157.0%1st Place
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8.43Bowdoin College0.762.9%1st Place
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4.72Dartmouth College2.1013.9%1st Place
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5.66Dartmouth College1.609.8%1st Place
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6.63Boston University1.147.5%1st Place
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11.84McGill University-1.220.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
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Brielle Willoughby | 17.4% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Emily Bornarth | 10.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Katherine McGagh | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 16.7% | 7.6% |
Eva Ermlich | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
Leah Rickard | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 8.9% | 2.3% |
Emily Mueller | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 26.2% | 14.6% |
Ella Hubbard | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
Christine Reimer | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 4.8% |
Sarah Young | 13.9% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Taylor Eastman | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Tiare Sierra | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 1.2% |
Katherine Weaver | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 12.6% | 66.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.