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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.22+4.79vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.03+3.33vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.15+3.62vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.76+4.37vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.55+0.86vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.04-1.87vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.10-2.17vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.60-2.22vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont-0.13+0.70vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University0.49-1.44vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.14-4.33vs Predicted
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12McGill University-1.220.00vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island0.79-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Northeastern University1.229.6%1st Place
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5.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.0310.8%1st Place
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6.62Tufts University1.157.0%1st Place
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8.37Bowdoin College0.763.5%1st Place
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5.86Brown University1.559.3%1st Place
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4.13Brown University2.0417.7%1st Place
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4.83Dartmouth College2.1013.0%1st Place
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5.78Dartmouth College1.6010.2%1st Place
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9.7University of Vermont-0.132.8%1st Place
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8.56Roger Williams University0.494.0%1st Place
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6.67Boston University1.146.8%1st Place
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12.0McGill University-1.220.8%1st Place
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7.37University of Rhode Island0.794.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eva Ermlich | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
Emily Bornarth | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
Ella Hubbard | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.1% |
Christine Reimer | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 5.9% |
Emily Mueller | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
Brielle Willoughby | 17.7% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Sarah Young | 13.0% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
Taylor Eastman | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
Elizabeth Amelotte | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 13.9% | 26.3% | 15.6% |
Katherine McGagh | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 17.1% | 5.1% |
Tiare Sierra | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
Katherine Weaver | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 13.6% | 67.6% |
Leah Rickard | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.