Race 9A

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Brielle Willoughby 18.9% 15.3% 14.1% 11.2% 11.1% 9.2% 7.6% 5.2% 4.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Emily Mueller 8.2% 10.3% 10.0% 9.2% 11.3% 9.6% 8.8% 9.8% 8.5% 7.2% 4.7% 2.0% 0.4%
Taylor Eastman 9.3% 10.2% 10.8% 9.4% 9.9% 10.3% 9.4% 9.8% 7.6% 6.0% 4.5% 2.4% 0.4%
Emily Bornarth 11.8% 10.5% 9.7% 10.5% 9.3% 9.9% 10.4% 8.0% 7.7% 6.5% 3.9% 1.6% 0.4%
Ella Hubbard 6.6% 7.5% 8.0% 8.8% 8.8% 8.6% 9.4% 10.2% 9.8% 9.1% 7.6% 4.2% 1.4%
Sarah Young 12.3% 13.1% 13.0% 12.4% 10.0% 9.7% 9.9% 6.6% 4.9% 4.8% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Eva Ermlich 10.1% 8.8% 9.4% 10.3% 9.6% 10.0% 9.6% 10.0% 8.7% 5.9% 4.9% 2.2% 0.4%
Christine Reimer 4.3% 3.9% 4.5% 5.3% 5.6% 5.9% 6.4% 7.3% 8.9% 12.8% 15.0% 14.1% 5.9%
Tiare Sierra 6.6% 7.3% 7.4% 8.8% 7.5% 8.6% 8.2% 9.3% 11.1% 10.2% 8.0% 5.4% 1.6%
Katherine McGagh 3.8% 4.0% 4.2% 4.5% 4.5% 5.8% 6.9% 8.1% 8.5% 11.8% 14.3% 17.1% 6.8%
Leah Rickard 5.6% 6.0% 5.9% 5.8% 7.4% 6.9% 7.8% 8.6% 10.4% 10.8% 12.8% 9.2% 3.0%
Elizabeth Amelotte 1.9% 2.3% 2.5% 2.9% 3.7% 4.3% 4.0% 5.4% 7.3% 9.3% 15.9% 26.6% 13.9%
Katherine Weaver 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.3% 1.7% 1.8% 2.6% 3.6% 5.2% 14.1% 65.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.