Race 1B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katharine Doble 16.9% 16.2% 16.0% 14.5% 10.9% 9.4% 7.0% 4.2% 3.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Katherine McNamara 13.2% 11.0% 12.6% 13.2% 10.2% 11.3% 9.7% 8.9% 4.9% 3.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Samantha Jensen 5.4% 6.2% 7.0% 7.3% 8.0% 9.1% 11.2% 10.5% 11.8% 10.2% 8.0% 4.1% 1.1%
Lauren Russler 14.1% 13.6% 13.1% 13.1% 12.2% 10.2% 9.5% 7.0% 4.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Tessa Hason 1.6% 1.6% 2.1% 1.6% 2.9% 4.2% 3.9% 5.1% 8.5% 11.2% 15.6% 23.2% 18.8%
Julia Conneely 6.2% 5.9% 6.7% 7.3% 8.9% 9.1% 10.8% 11.8% 12.0% 10.0% 6.6% 3.8% 0.9%
bella casaretto 13.7% 14.4% 14.0% 13.1% 13.5% 10.4% 8.6% 6.3% 3.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Lucy Meagher 16.2% 17.6% 14.7% 13.5% 11.7% 9.6% 7.5% 4.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Sylvia Burns 1.5% 2.4% 2.1% 2.6% 3.0% 3.6% 5.0% 6.3% 9.6% 12.4% 19.5% 19.7% 12.2%
Caitlin Derby 3.0% 2.6% 2.8% 3.6% 4.5% 5.6% 7.3% 9.0% 13.0% 14.8% 15.7% 12.8% 5.2%
Ariana Schwartz 2.6% 3.2% 2.5% 3.0% 5.0% 5.6% 6.9% 11.0% 11.9% 14.6% 14.1% 13.5% 6.0%
Ava Hurwitz 5.2% 4.6% 5.6% 6.0% 8.2% 10.3% 10.6% 12.1% 12.1% 11.2% 8.0% 4.9% 1.2%
Danielle Bogacheva 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 1.5% 2.1% 2.9% 3.4% 5.9% 9.1% 16.7% 54.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.