Race 3B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katharine Doble 16.8% 16.5% 15.3% 13.5% 12.4% 7.8% 7.3% 5.0% 3.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Lucy Meagher 16.4% 16.0% 13.1% 14.5% 12.4% 10.9% 7.2% 4.2% 2.8% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
bella casaretto 16.4% 14.1% 12.8% 12.4% 11.0% 11.3% 8.5% 6.6% 3.4% 2.3% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Katherine McNamara 12.0% 12.0% 12.4% 12.2% 11.2% 11.3% 9.9% 8.5% 5.1% 3.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Lauren Russler 13.5% 13.5% 14.2% 11.3% 11.7% 10.8% 9.0% 7.8% 4.4% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Ava Hurwitz 4.7% 5.4% 6.0% 6.8% 7.6% 8.6% 10.7% 11.1% 12.3% 11.5% 8.6% 5.2% 1.5%
Samantha Jensen 6.0% 6.2% 6.2% 6.7% 8.1% 8.2% 10.3% 11.7% 13.6% 11.0% 7.4% 3.5% 1.0%
Tessa Hason 1.6% 1.7% 1.4% 2.5% 2.9% 3.7% 4.5% 4.9% 7.8% 9.2% 16.2% 24.2% 19.2%
Julia Conneely 4.9% 5.1% 8.0% 8.6% 7.4% 10.2% 10.5% 12.0% 11.9% 9.7% 7.1% 3.4% 1.2%
Caitlin Derby 2.5% 3.5% 3.6% 3.7% 5.1% 5.5% 8.2% 8.4% 11.8% 13.4% 16.1% 12.6% 5.8%
Ariana Schwartz 2.8% 3.3% 4.0% 3.9% 5.2% 6.6% 5.8% 10.2% 10.2% 14.2% 14.5% 13.2% 6.0%
Sylvia Burns 1.9% 2.1% 2.1% 2.8% 3.5% 3.8% 5.9% 6.9% 9.8% 13.1% 15.8% 19.4% 12.8%
Danielle Bogacheva 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 1.0% 1.5% 1.1% 2.1% 2.9% 3.8% 6.3% 9.8% 17.5% 52.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.