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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.33+6.66vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.33+5.71vs Predicted
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3Brown University4.49+4.23vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.52+3.20vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.06+3.58vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.89-0.02vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.25+4.74vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.85-2.06vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.74+1.22vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63-3.32vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont4.60-3.99vs Predicted
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12University of Connecticut2.51+1.87vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University4.78-6.75vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.00+1.00vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University3.92-5.69vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.92-6.58vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire2.78-4.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66Tufts University4.330.1%1st Place
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7.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology4.330.1%1st Place
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7.23Brown University4.490.1%1st Place
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7.2Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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8.58Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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5.98Boston College4.890.1%1st Place
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11.74Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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5.94Yale University4.850.1%1st Place
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10.22Connecticut College3.740.0%1st Place
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6.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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7.01University of Vermont4.600.1%1st Place
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13.87University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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6.25Roger Williams University4.780.1%1st Place
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15.0Boston University2.000.0%1st Place
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9.31Salve Regina University3.920.0%1st Place
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9.42University of Rhode Island3.920.0%1st Place
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13.2University of New Hampshire2.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tomas Hornos | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Joshua Leighton | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Fred Strammer | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Alan Palmer | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sam Williams | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Sinks | 11.0% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Takata | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 7.1% |
| Thomas Barrows | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matt Sterett | 2.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Samuel Ingham | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Clinton Hayes | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sean Andrew | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 13.1% | 25.0% | 24.1% |
| Cy Thompson | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Solomon Tarlin | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 10.6% | 20.1% | 46.1% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Amy Hawkins | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Gregg Griffin | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 17.0% | 21.3% | 16.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.