Race 13A

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sophie Grigg 9.0% 11.1% 13.5% 14.4% 14.0% 13.0% 10.4% 7.0% 4.5% 2.8% 0.4%
Iain Shand 23.5% 21.0% 17.1% 14.6% 11.1% 6.7% 3.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Rose von Eckartsberg 3.1% 3.6% 5.6% 6.8% 7.8% 10.4% 12.8% 14.2% 13.7% 13.2% 8.8%
Robert Riecker 34.0% 27.1% 17.8% 10.8% 5.9% 2.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Brooke Lorson 7.3% 9.6% 10.8% 13.6% 13.9% 13.7% 12.1% 9.6% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8%
Charlotte Stillman 10.6% 12.4% 14.8% 14.8% 14.0% 12.2% 10.1% 6.2% 2.8% 1.6% 0.6%
Addie Perez 3.6% 4.3% 5.7% 7.1% 9.9% 9.6% 11.7% 14.5% 14.6% 10.7% 8.4%
Myles Wommack 1.6% 1.8% 3.2% 3.8% 4.5% 6.3% 7.8% 9.4% 13.2% 19.6% 28.8%
Mac Fitzgerald 3.2% 4.1% 5.4% 6.4% 8.2% 11.2% 12.4% 14.8% 14.2% 11.3% 8.7%
Justin McDaniel 2.4% 3.0% 3.1% 4.2% 6.6% 8.0% 10.1% 12.3% 16.4% 17.3% 16.7%
Alice Kilkelly 1.6% 2.1% 3.0% 3.3% 4.2% 6.0% 8.1% 10.2% 13.9% 20.7% 26.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.