Race 4B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Lauren Russler 13.2% 13.7% 12.2% 13.3% 12.2% 10.0% 10.7% 6.2% 5.1% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
bella casaretto 14.5% 14.4% 13.7% 12.3% 12.2% 10.6% 8.6% 6.4% 4.3% 2.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Lucy Meagher 15.8% 17.8% 15.1% 13.7% 11.7% 9.8% 6.9% 4.6% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Ariana Schwartz 2.3% 3.1% 3.4% 3.9% 5.1% 6.2% 7.5% 9.6% 11.9% 13.2% 14.8% 13.5% 5.5%
Katharine Doble 16.9% 16.2% 13.9% 12.8% 12.3% 9.6% 8.4% 5.0% 2.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Tessa Hason 1.4% 2.0% 2.1% 2.4% 2.3% 3.8% 4.3% 5.2% 8.2% 10.1% 16.4% 23.4% 18.6%
Julia Conneely 6.0% 5.5% 7.1% 7.4% 7.8% 8.2% 10.0% 11.6% 11.8% 11.2% 8.6% 4.2% 0.8%
Katherine McNamara 14.3% 10.9% 12.7% 13.1% 11.4% 10.5% 8.9% 8.1% 4.6% 3.5% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Samantha Jensen 5.0% 5.2% 7.1% 6.9% 8.1% 10.1% 10.8% 12.4% 11.9% 9.2% 8.3% 3.7% 1.2%
Caitlin Derby 2.9% 2.8% 3.5% 4.0% 4.8% 5.6% 6.8% 9.8% 11.2% 14.2% 14.2% 14.0% 6.2%
Ava Hurwitz 5.4% 5.2% 5.9% 6.5% 8.4% 10.0% 9.7% 11.4% 12.3% 11.8% 7.5% 4.5% 1.3%
Danielle Bogacheva 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 1.2% 0.9% 1.6% 2.6% 3.2% 3.4% 6.6% 8.8% 16.1% 53.4%
Sylvia Burns 1.7% 2.2% 2.6% 2.5% 2.9% 4.2% 4.8% 6.5% 9.1% 13.0% 17.8% 20.1% 12.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.