Race 5B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katharine Doble 16.4% 17.3% 15.2% 12.1% 11.7% 10.8% 7.0% 4.4% 2.9% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Julia Conneely 5.5% 6.1% 6.7% 7.0% 8.0% 9.8% 11.8% 10.8% 12.9% 9.2% 7.8% 3.6% 0.8%
bella casaretto 13.4% 12.6% 13.7% 13.6% 12.0% 12.2% 8.6% 6.2% 4.2% 2.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Ariana Schwartz 2.6% 2.4% 3.1% 4.0% 4.7% 6.2% 8.7% 10.0% 11.5% 13.5% 14.8% 12.7% 5.9%
Lauren Russler 13.0% 12.9% 13.8% 12.9% 12.0% 10.7% 9.8% 6.9% 4.1% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Lucy Meagher 17.8% 15.4% 15.0% 14.1% 12.4% 9.1% 6.6% 5.1% 2.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Samantha Jensen 6.2% 6.8% 6.3% 7.0% 7.6% 9.1% 9.9% 11.4% 11.3% 10.6% 8.4% 4.2% 1.1%
Ava Hurwitz 4.3% 5.4% 5.5% 6.8% 7.3% 8.3% 9.4% 13.1% 12.0% 12.3% 8.9% 5.0% 1.5%
Katherine McNamara 12.7% 13.6% 12.1% 12.7% 12.2% 10.0% 9.6% 6.7% 5.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Tessa Hason 1.7% 1.2% 1.9% 2.5% 2.8% 2.5% 4.7% 6.5% 7.4% 10.4% 15.2% 25.5% 17.6%
Caitlin Derby 3.1% 3.4% 3.7% 3.9% 5.0% 5.9% 6.7% 10.0% 11.9% 15.0% 13.9% 12.7% 5.0%
Danielle Bogacheva 0.9% 0.5% 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 2.4% 2.1% 3.5% 5.5% 8.5% 17.7% 54.7%
Sylvia Burns 2.5% 2.4% 2.4% 2.5% 3.0% 4.0% 4.8% 6.7% 9.8% 12.6% 18.6% 17.4% 13.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.