Race 6B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katharine Doble 17.2% 15.7% 14.7% 13.6% 11.6% 10.8% 7.2% 4.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Julia Conneely 5.5% 6.0% 7.5% 6.8% 7.4% 9.7% 11.1% 12.3% 11.9% 9.8% 7.0% 3.8% 0.9%
Samantha Jensen 5.3% 4.6% 6.0% 8.6% 8.8% 9.3% 10.5% 12.7% 12.1% 9.0% 7.8% 4.1% 1.1%
Katherine McNamara 12.8% 11.8% 12.9% 11.6% 12.8% 10.3% 9.8% 8.1% 5.1% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
bella casaretto 14.5% 14.1% 13.0% 14.2% 11.3% 11.2% 9.2% 6.1% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Ava Hurwitz 5.2% 5.2% 6.0% 6.1% 7.3% 9.2% 10.8% 11.7% 11.8% 12.0% 8.7% 4.5% 1.5%
Lauren Russler 12.8% 13.6% 13.0% 12.1% 12.2% 11.1% 9.3% 7.1% 4.7% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Lucy Meagher 17.6% 17.4% 14.9% 13.0% 11.6% 9.4% 6.4% 4.8% 3.1% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Caitlin Derby 2.4% 3.5% 4.0% 4.0% 5.3% 6.1% 6.0% 8.7% 12.2% 13.4% 14.8% 13.4% 6.2%
Tessa Hason 1.9% 2.1% 1.9% 1.9% 2.5% 3.5% 4.2% 5.0% 7.9% 11.3% 15.0% 23.2% 19.6%
Ariana Schwartz 2.5% 3.5% 3.3% 4.0% 4.5% 4.8% 8.2% 9.8% 11.3% 13.9% 15.8% 12.8% 5.5%
Sylvia Burns 1.8% 1.7% 1.8% 3.6% 3.4% 3.3% 4.7% 6.6% 9.0% 13.1% 18.0% 20.2% 12.8%
Danielle Bogacheva 0.4% 0.8% 0.9% 0.7% 1.3% 1.4% 2.6% 2.8% 4.1% 7.0% 8.9% 17.0% 52.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.