Race 7B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
bella casaretto 15.3% 14.0% 13.8% 13.9% 11.2% 9.8% 8.1% 6.1% 4.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Julia Conneely 5.5% 6.2% 6.6% 7.5% 8.0% 10.4% 10.8% 11.8% 10.3% 10.3% 7.4% 3.9% 0.9%
Lauren Russler 13.9% 13.8% 12.7% 10.5% 12.9% 11.5% 9.7% 7.0% 4.5% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Lucy Meagher 17.3% 15.0% 14.6% 14.1% 10.8% 9.4% 7.5% 5.3% 3.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Sylvia Burns 1.8% 1.9% 2.0% 2.5% 3.6% 3.1% 5.6% 6.5% 9.9% 11.0% 17.8% 21.6% 12.6%
Katharine Doble 16.4% 16.2% 16.2% 12.6% 12.3% 9.3% 7.8% 4.6% 2.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Katherine McNamara 12.8% 12.7% 11.7% 12.2% 12.1% 11.1% 9.9% 7.9% 6.0% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Tessa Hason 1.1% 1.1% 1.8% 2.4% 3.2% 2.9% 4.5% 5.2% 8.3% 10.4% 15.6% 24.8% 18.8%
Ariana Schwartz 2.6% 3.5% 4.2% 4.7% 4.2% 5.7% 7.3% 8.8% 11.2% 15.2% 15.8% 12.1% 5.0%
Samantha Jensen 5.7% 6.3% 6.0% 6.6% 7.9% 9.6% 10.5% 11.7% 11.6% 10.5% 8.9% 3.8% 1.0%
Ava Hurwitz 4.4% 5.9% 6.2% 6.9% 8.3% 9.2% 9.2% 12.2% 12.4% 11.8% 7.9% 4.7% 1.1%
Caitlin Derby 2.5% 2.9% 3.6% 5.0% 4.3% 6.2% 7.1% 10.1% 10.7% 15.3% 14.3% 11.9% 5.9%
Danielle Bogacheva 0.7% 0.5% 0.8% 1.4% 1.1% 1.8% 1.9% 2.9% 4.5% 4.9% 8.8% 16.4% 54.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.