Race 8B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katharine Doble 17.0% 16.3% 15.2% 13.6% 12.2% 9.0% 6.9% 4.6% 3.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Ava Hurwitz 4.8% 5.2% 6.2% 6.3% 7.7% 8.5% 10.8% 12.4% 11.5% 11.4% 8.8% 4.9% 1.4%
Katherine McNamara 12.5% 12.9% 11.6% 11.9% 13.2% 11.7% 10.0% 7.3% 4.8% 2.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Lucy Meagher 17.1% 16.8% 15.2% 12.4% 11.0% 9.8% 7.4% 5.1% 2.9% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1%
bella casaretto 14.7% 13.5% 13.2% 13.1% 14.0% 9.4% 8.4% 5.5% 5.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Lauren Russler 13.4% 13.4% 12.6% 13.2% 10.7% 11.1% 10.7% 7.9% 4.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Samantha Jensen 5.9% 5.9% 6.9% 7.0% 7.7% 9.8% 9.7% 12.6% 12.2% 11.1% 6.2% 3.6% 1.5%
Tessa Hason 1.5% 1.7% 1.7% 2.2% 2.9% 2.8% 4.5% 5.1% 7.3% 11.9% 17.0% 23.4% 18.1%
Sylvia Burns 2.0% 2.1% 2.6% 2.9% 3.2% 5.0% 5.9% 6.9% 9.0% 12.4% 16.6% 19.9% 11.3%
Julia Conneely 5.5% 4.9% 6.9% 7.2% 7.1% 9.6% 12.4% 11.5% 12.4% 9.6% 7.5% 4.4% 1.1%
Ariana Schwartz 1.9% 3.4% 3.5% 4.5% 4.3% 5.5% 5.9% 9.7% 12.9% 13.9% 16.2% 13.2% 5.1%
Caitlin Derby 3.2% 3.4% 3.4% 4.5% 4.5% 6.6% 5.6% 8.9% 10.7% 14.8% 14.6% 13.8% 6.1%
Danielle Bogacheva 0.5% 0.7% 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.3% 1.8% 2.5% 4.0% 5.6% 9.2% 15.7% 55.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.