Race 9B

toni-deutsch-58

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Katherine McNamara 12.8% 11.8% 13.7% 11.3% 10.9% 12.0% 9.8% 7.9% 5.1% 2.9% 1.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Lauren Russler 13.9% 14.9% 13.3% 11.8% 11.9% 10.9% 8.0% 6.9% 4.5% 2.3% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
bella casaretto 12.8% 13.0% 12.8% 14.2% 12.8% 11.0% 9.8% 6.5% 3.6% 2.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Lucy Meagher 17.6% 15.8% 15.0% 14.5% 11.5% 9.6% 7.1% 5.2% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Katharine Doble 16.7% 16.8% 14.6% 12.7% 12.2% 10.1% 7.8% 4.2% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Ariana Schwartz 3.1% 2.7% 3.9% 3.6% 5.2% 5.4% 7.0% 8.0% 10.4% 13.9% 16.7% 14.0% 6.1%
Ava Hurwitz 4.8% 5.5% 6.2% 7.0% 7.0% 8.4% 9.8% 11.8% 13.0% 11.4% 8.8% 4.6% 1.7%
Sylvia Burns 1.2% 2.4% 2.3% 2.9% 3.6% 4.0% 5.1% 7.3% 10.1% 12.8% 17.0% 19.5% 11.7%
Caitlin Derby 2.5% 2.5% 3.1% 4.1% 4.9% 5.7% 7.8% 9.4% 13.0% 15.2% 14.9% 11.6% 5.1%
Samantha Jensen 5.4% 6.0% 6.2% 7.7% 8.3% 8.2% 10.1% 12.6% 12.8% 10.1% 7.3% 4.6% 0.8%
Danielle Bogacheva 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% 2.1% 3.0% 3.7% 4.9% 7.3% 17.9% 54.7%
Tessa Hason 1.6% 1.8% 2.2% 2.1% 2.2% 3.2% 4.7% 5.9% 7.8% 10.7% 16.2% 22.6% 19.0%
Julia Conneely 6.5% 5.6% 5.9% 6.9% 8.2% 10.0% 10.8% 11.2% 11.2% 10.5% 7.8% 4.4% 0.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.